Madison Technologies Pink Sheet Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| MDEX Stock | USD 0 0.0004 66.67% |
Madison Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Madison Technologies' share price is below 20 . This indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Madison Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Madison Technologies from the perspective of Madison Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Madison Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 0.001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0003 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.02. Madison Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 9.35E-4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Madison |
Madison Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Madison price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Madison using various technical indicators. When you analyze Madison charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Madison Technologies Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 7th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Madison Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 0.001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0003, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000161, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.02.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Madison Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Madison Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Madison Technologies Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Madison Technologies | Madison Technologies Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Madison Technologies Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Madison Technologies' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Madison Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00001 and 107.42, respectively. We have considered Madison Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Madison Technologies pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Madison Technologies pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.0E-4 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.2424 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0182 |
Predictive Modules for Madison Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Madison Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Madison Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Madison Technologies After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Madison Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Madison Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Madison Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Madison Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Madison Technologies' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Madison Technologies' historical news coverage. Madison Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 50.05, respectively. We have considered Madison Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Madison Technologies is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Madison Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Madison Technologies Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Madison Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Madison Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Madison Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
15.35 | 107.42 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0 | 0.0009 | 6.54 |
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Madison Technologies Hype Timeline
Madison Technologies is now traded for 0. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.07. Madison is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 9.35E-4. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -6.54%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 15.35%. The volatility of related hype on Madison Technologies is about 2486574.07%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -0.07. About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.09. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Madison Technologies had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:10 split on the 11th of March 2015. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Madison Technologies to cross-verify your projections.Madison Technologies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Madison Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Madison Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how Madison Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Madison Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WDHR | WeedHire International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| OPMG | Options Media Group | 0.00 | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| JETR | Star Jets International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 12.18 | 0.08 | 36.17 | (22.41) | 87.48 | |
| GWTR | Global Water Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.88 | 0.04 | 16.15 | (14.00) | 62.14 | |
| PTEEF | Plaintree Systems | (0.04) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 10.77 | (5.66) | 50.68 | |
| WPUR | WaterPure International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 8.93 | 0.08 | 23.53 | (19.05) | 74.18 | |
| LWCTF | LCTI Low Carbon | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PBHG | Pbs Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AERS | Aerius International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 8.61 | 0.07 | 28.57 | (22.22) | 112.36 | |
| SGLN | SurgLine International | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Madison Technologies
For every potential investor in Madison, whether a beginner or expert, Madison Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Madison Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Madison. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Madison Technologies' price trends.Madison Technologies Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Madison Technologies pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Madison Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Madison Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Madison Technologies Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Madison Technologies pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Madison Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Madison Technologies pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Madison Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.67 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.001 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.001 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 2.0E-4 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 4.0E-4 |
Madison Technologies Risk Indicators
The analysis of Madison Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Madison Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting madison pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 33.38 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 104.96 | |||
| Variance | 11016.64 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Madison Technologies
The number of cover stories for Madison Technologies depends on current market conditions and Madison Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Madison Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Madison Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Madison Technologies Short Properties
Madison Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Madison Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Madison Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Madison Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Madison Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 352.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 55.7 K | |
| Shares Float | 558.7 M |
Additional Tools for Madison Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Madison Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Madison Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Madison Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Madison Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Madison Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Madison Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Madison Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.