MDJM Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

MDJH Stock  USD 0.16  0.01  5.88%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of MDJM on the next trading day is expected to be 0.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.12. MDJM Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of MDJM's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
The MDJM's current Inventory Turnover is estimated to increase to about 174.4 K, while Payables Turnover is projected to decrease to 3.33. . The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 9.4 M. The MDJM's current Net Loss is estimated to increase to about (1.8 M).

MDJM Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the MDJM's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2016-12-31
Previous Quarter
503.5 K
Current Value
83.8 K
Quarterly Volatility
2.5 M
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for MDJM is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of MDJM value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

MDJM Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of MDJM on the next trading day is expected to be 0.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.12.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MDJM Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that MDJM's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

MDJM Stock Forecast Pattern

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MDJM Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting MDJM's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. MDJM's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 12.37, respectively. We have considered MDJM's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.16
0.32
Expected Value
12.37
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MDJM stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MDJM stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.1843
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0675
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1851
SAESum of the absolute errors4.1197
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of MDJM. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict MDJM. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for MDJM

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MDJM. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.1112.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.1512.12
Details

Other Forecasting Options for MDJM

For every potential investor in MDJM, whether a beginner or expert, MDJM's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MDJM Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MDJM. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying MDJM's price trends.

View MDJM Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

MDJM Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of MDJM's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of MDJM's current price.

MDJM Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MDJM stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MDJM shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MDJM stock market strength indicators, traders can identify MDJM entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

MDJM Risk Indicators

The analysis of MDJM's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MDJM's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mdjm stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether MDJM offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of MDJM's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Mdjm Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Mdjm Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MDJM to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in MDJM Stock please use our How to Invest in MDJM guide.
You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MDJM. If investors know MDJM will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about MDJM listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.87)
Earnings Share
(0.14)
Revenue Per Share
0.01
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.75)
Return On Assets
(0.26)
The market value of MDJM is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MDJM that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MDJM's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MDJM's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because MDJM's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MDJM's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MDJM's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MDJM is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MDJM's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.