MDM Permian Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression

MDMP Stock  USD 0  0.0006  12.00%   
MDM Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of MDM Permian's share price is approaching 40. This indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling MDM Permian, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 40

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of MDM Permian's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with MDM Permian, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using MDM Permian hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MDM Permian from the perspective of MDM Permian response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of MDM Permian on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0004 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.02.

MDM Permian after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.006751  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MDM Permian to cross-verify your projections.

MDM Permian Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine MDM price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MDM using various technical indicators. When you analyze MDM charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through MDM Permian price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

MDM Permian Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of MDM Permian on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0004, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000024, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.02.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MDM Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that MDM Permian's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

MDM Permian Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest MDM Permian  MDM Permian Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

MDM Permian Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting MDM Permian's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. MDM Permian's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000044 and 9.20, respectively. We have considered MDM Permian's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0
0.000044
Downside
0
Expected Value
9.20
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MDM Permian pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MDM Permian pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria102.8532
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation4.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0632
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0221
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as MDM Permian historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for MDM Permian

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MDM Permian. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.019.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.0009.15
Details

MDM Permian After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of MDM Permian at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MDM Permian or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of MDM Permian, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

MDM Permian Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting MDM Permian's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MDM Permian's historical news coverage. MDM Permian's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 9.16, respectively. We have considered MDM Permian's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0
0.01
After-hype Price
9.16
Upside
MDM Permian is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MDM Permian is based on 3 months time horizon.

MDM Permian Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as MDM Permian is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MDM Permian backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MDM Permian, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.24 
9.20
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0
0.01
35.02 
0.00  
Notes

MDM Permian Hype Timeline

MDM Permian is now traded for 0. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. MDM is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.006751 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price gain on the next news is estimated to be 35.02%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.24%. The volatility of related hype on MDM Permian is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. Debt can assist MDM Permian until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, MDM Permian's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like MDM Permian sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for MDM to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about MDM Permian's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MDM Permian to cross-verify your projections.

MDM Permian Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to MDM Permian's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MDM Permian's future price movements. Getting to know how MDM Permian's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MDM Permian may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
EFIREGPI Firecreek 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
RHCCFRoyal Helium 0.00 0 per month 13.20  0.17  80.33 (30.00) 185.71 
FECOFFEC Resources 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.08  8.33  0.00  108.70 
WCHEFWinchester Energy Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
OILCFPermex Petroleum 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.04  0.00  0.00  53.19 
PNRXFPorto Energy Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CRCECrown Resources Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.1  9.93 (6.67) 35.88 
WACCWestAmerica 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
MMEXMMEX Resources Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.20  0.00  0.00  1,100 
BYOGFBounty Oil Gas 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for MDM Permian

For every potential investor in MDM, whether a beginner or expert, MDM Permian's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MDM Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MDM. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying MDM Permian's price trends.

MDM Permian Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with MDM Permian pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of MDM Permian could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MDM Permian by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

MDM Permian Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MDM Permian pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MDM Permian shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MDM Permian pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify MDM Permian entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for MDM Permian

The number of cover stories for MDM Permian depends on current market conditions and MDM Permian's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MDM Permian is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MDM Permian's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Additional Tools for MDM Pink Sheet Analysis

When running MDM Permian's price analysis, check to measure MDM Permian's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MDM Permian is operating at the current time. Most of MDM Permian's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MDM Permian's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MDM Permian's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MDM Permian to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.