Medipower Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| MDPR Stock | ILS 658.40 4.00 0.61% |
Medipower Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Medipower stock prices and determine the direction of Medipower M's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Medipower's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, the value of RSI of Medipower's share price is approaching 48. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Medipower, making its price go up or down. Momentum 48
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Medipower hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Medipower M from the perspective of Medipower response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Medipower M on the next trading day is expected to be 656.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 13.74 and the sum of the absolute errors of 851.92. Medipower after-hype prediction price | ILA 658.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Medipower |
Medipower Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Medipower price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Medipower using various technical indicators. When you analyze Medipower charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Medipower Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Medipower M on the next trading day is expected to be 656.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 13.74, mean absolute percentage error of 263.40, and the sum of the absolute errors of 851.92.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Medipower Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Medipower's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Medipower Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Medipower | Medipower Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Medipower Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Medipower's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Medipower's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 654.72 and 658.69, respectively. We have considered Medipower's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Medipower stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Medipower stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 125.5221 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 13.7407 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0204 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 851.9229 |
Predictive Modules for Medipower
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Medipower M. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Medipower After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Medipower at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Medipower or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Medipower, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Medipower Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Medipower's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Medipower's historical news coverage. Medipower's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 656.42 and 660.38, respectively. We have considered Medipower's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Medipower is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Medipower M is based on 3 months time horizon.
Medipower Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Medipower is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Medipower backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Medipower, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 1.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
658.40 | 658.40 | 0.00 |
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Medipower Hype Timeline
Medipower M is now traded for 658.40on Tel Aviv Stock Exchange of Israel. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Medipower is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Medipower is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 658.40. About 53.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company last dividend was issued on the 23rd of June 2019. Medipower M had 10:1 split on the 17th of October 2012. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Medipower to cross-verify your projections.Medipower Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Medipower's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Medipower's future price movements. Getting to know how Medipower's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Medipower may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NTGR | Netanel Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.89 | (3.24) | 12.38 | |
| POLY | Polygon L | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.80 | 0.04 | 3.35 | (3.17) | 9.85 | |
| MSLA | Maslavi | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 2.95 | (3.41) | 12.30 | |
| AVGD | Av Gad Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.47 | (3.29) | 13.12 | |
| DRSH | Dorsel Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.73 | (2.60) | 8.68 | |
| MSHR | Mishorim Real Estate | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.32 | (3.57) | 10.71 | |
| ASGR | Aspen Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.57 | 0.03 | 4.16 | (4.04) | 16.88 | |
| RAVD | Ravad | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.92 | (0) | 2.92 | (3.52) | 20.93 | |
| HGGE | Hagag Europe Development | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.37 | 0.18 | 3.47 | (2.28) | 23.95 |
Other Forecasting Options for Medipower
For every potential investor in Medipower, whether a beginner or expert, Medipower's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Medipower Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Medipower. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Medipower's price trends.Medipower Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Medipower stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Medipower could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Medipower by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Medipower Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Medipower stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Medipower shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Medipower stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Medipower M entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Medipower Risk Indicators
The analysis of Medipower's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Medipower's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting medipower stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.72 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.26 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.26 | |||
| Variance | 5.12 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.92 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.11 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.67) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Medipower
The number of cover stories for Medipower depends on current market conditions and Medipower's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Medipower is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Medipower's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Medipower Short Properties
Medipower's future price predictability will typically decrease when Medipower's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Medipower M often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Medipower's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Medipower's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.14 | |
| Shares Float | 15.9 M |
Other Information on Investing in Medipower Stock
Medipower financial ratios help investors to determine whether Medipower Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Medipower with respect to the benefits of owning Medipower security.