Medra Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

MDRA Stock  USD 0.02  0.00005  0.24%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Medra on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000301 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0002. Medra Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Medra stock prices and determine the direction of Medra's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Medra's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Medra's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Medra's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Medra, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Medra's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.17)
Using Medra hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Medra from the perspective of Medra response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Medra on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000301 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0002.

Medra after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.0205  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Medra to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Medra Stock refer to our How to Trade Medra Stock guide.As of January 13, 2026, Inventory Turnover is expected to decline to 2.19. In addition to that, Payables Turnover is expected to decline to 1.25. As of January 13, 2026, Net Loss is expected to decline to about (9.4 M).

Medra Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Medra price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Medra using various technical indicators. When you analyze Medra charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Medra Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Medra's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
409.4 K
Current Value
237.6 K
Quarterly Volatility
74.3 K
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Medra is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Medra value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Medra Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 14th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Medra on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000301, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0002.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Medra Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Medra's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Medra Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest MedraMedra Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Medra Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Medra's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Medra's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0002 and 0.05, respectively. We have considered Medra's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.02
0.0002
Downside
0.02
Expected Value
0.05
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Medra stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Medra stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria93.7364
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error1.0E-4
SAESum of the absolute errors2.0E-4
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Medra. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Medra. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Medra

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Medra. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.020.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.020.02
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Medra

For every potential investor in Medra, whether a beginner or expert, Medra's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Medra Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Medra. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Medra's price trends.

Medra Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Medra stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Medra could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Medra by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Medra Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Medra's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Medra's current price.

Medra Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Medra stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Medra shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Medra stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Medra entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Medra offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Medra's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Medra Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Medra Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Medra to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Medra Stock refer to our How to Trade Medra Stock guide.
You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Is Electrical Components & Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Medra. If investors know Medra will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Medra listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.21)
Revenue Per Share
32.184
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.17)
Return On Assets
(1.74)
Return On Equity
(6.03)
The market value of Medra is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Medra that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Medra's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Medra's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Medra's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Medra's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Medra's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Medra is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Medra's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.