MiMedx Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

MDXG Stock  USD 6.31  0.13  2.02%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of MiMedx Group on the next trading day is expected to be 6.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.21. MiMedx Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of MiMedx's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 10th of January 2026 the rsi of MiMedx's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of MiMedx's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of MiMedx and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from MiMedx's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with MiMedx Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting MiMedx's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.138
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.085
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.42
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.245
Wall Street Target Price
12.2
Using MiMedx hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MiMedx Group from the perspective of MiMedx response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards MiMedx using MiMedx's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards MiMedx using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of MiMedx's stock price.

MiMedx Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in MiMedx's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards MiMedx. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of MiMedx stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
6.8808
Short Percent
0.0389
Short Ratio
5.9
Shares Short Prior Month
4.4 M
50 Day MA
7.0236

MiMedx Group Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to MiMedx's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in MiMedx. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding MiMedx can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around MiMedx Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of MiMedx's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about MiMedx.

MiMedx Implied Volatility

    
  1.81  
MiMedx's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of MiMedx Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if MiMedx's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that MiMedx stock will not fluctuate a lot when MiMedx's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of MiMedx Group on the next trading day is expected to be 6.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.21.

MiMedx after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 6.31  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MiMedx to cross-verify your projections.
At this time, MiMedx's Inventory Turnover is most likely to slightly decrease in the upcoming years. The MiMedx's current Payables Turnover is estimated to increase to 7.66, while Receivables Turnover is projected to decrease to 5.34. . The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 96.3 M. The MiMedx's current Net Loss is estimated to increase to about (31.4 M).

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 MiMedx Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast MiMedx's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in MiMedx's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for MiMedx stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current MiMedx's open interest, investors have to compare it to MiMedx's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of MiMedx is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in MiMedx. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

MiMedx Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine MiMedx price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MiMedx using various technical indicators. When you analyze MiMedx charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
MiMedx simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for MiMedx Group are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as MiMedx Group prices get older.

MiMedx Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 11th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of MiMedx Group on the next trading day is expected to be 6.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.21.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MiMedx Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that MiMedx's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

MiMedx Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest MiMedxMiMedx Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

MiMedx Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting MiMedx's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. MiMedx's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.86 and 8.76, respectively. We have considered MiMedx's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
6.31
6.31
Expected Value
8.76
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MiMedx stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MiMedx stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.8147
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0045
MADMean absolute deviation0.1368
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0195
SAESum of the absolute errors8.21
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting MiMedx Group forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent MiMedx observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for MiMedx

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MiMedx Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MiMedx's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.866.318.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.276.729.17
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
11.1012.2013.54
Details

Other Forecasting Options for MiMedx

For every potential investor in MiMedx, whether a beginner or expert, MiMedx's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MiMedx Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MiMedx. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying MiMedx's price trends.

MiMedx Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with MiMedx stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of MiMedx could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MiMedx by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

MiMedx Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of MiMedx's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of MiMedx's current price.

MiMedx Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MiMedx stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MiMedx shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MiMedx stock market strength indicators, traders can identify MiMedx Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

MiMedx Risk Indicators

The analysis of MiMedx's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MiMedx's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mimedx stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether MiMedx Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze MiMedx's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact MiMedx's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding MiMedx Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MiMedx to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MiMedx. If investors know MiMedx will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about MiMedx listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.138
Earnings Share
0.27
Revenue Per Share
2.668
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.353
Return On Assets
0.1198
The market value of MiMedx Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MiMedx that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MiMedx's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MiMedx's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because MiMedx's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MiMedx's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MiMedx's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MiMedx is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MiMedx's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.