Harbor Health Etf Forecast - Naive Prediction

MEDI Etf   26.48  0.42  1.61%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Harbor Health Care on the next trading day is expected to be 26.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.33. Harbor Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Harbor Health's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Harbor Health is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Harbor Health Care value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Harbor Health Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Harbor Health Care on the next trading day is expected to be 26.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33, mean absolute percentage error of 0.17, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.33.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Harbor Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Harbor Health's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Harbor Health Etf Forecast Pattern

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Harbor Health Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Harbor Health's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Harbor Health's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.00 and 27.10, respectively. We have considered Harbor Health's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
26.48
26.05
Expected Value
27.10
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Harbor Health etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Harbor Health etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.1579
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3279
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0122
SAESum of the absolute errors20.3286
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Harbor Health Care. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Harbor Health. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Harbor Health

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Harbor Health Care. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Harbor Health's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.4126.4627.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.4726.5227.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
24.6425.9127.18
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Harbor Health

For every potential investor in Harbor, whether a beginner or expert, Harbor Health's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Harbor Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Harbor. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Harbor Health's price trends.

Harbor Health Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Harbor Health etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Harbor Health could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Harbor Health by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Harbor Health Care Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Harbor Health's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Harbor Health's current price.

Harbor Health Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Harbor Health etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Harbor Health shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Harbor Health etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Harbor Health Care entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Harbor Health Risk Indicators

The analysis of Harbor Health's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Harbor Health's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting harbor etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Harbor Health Care offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Harbor Health's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Harbor Health Care Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Harbor Health Care Etf:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Harbor Health to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
The market value of Harbor Health Care is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Harbor that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Harbor Health's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Harbor Health's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Harbor Health's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Harbor Health's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Harbor Health's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Harbor Health is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Harbor Health's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.