Medipharm Labs OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| MEDIF Stock | USD 0.05 0 3.85% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Medipharm Labs Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.08. Medipharm OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Medipharm Labs' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Medipharm |
Medipharm Labs Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Medipharm Labs Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0000035, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.08.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Medipharm OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Medipharm Labs' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Medipharm Labs OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
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Medipharm Labs Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Medipharm Labs' OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Medipharm Labs' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0005 and 4.15, respectively. We have considered Medipharm Labs' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Medipharm Labs otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Medipharm Labs otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 103.7086 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -1.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0014 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0269 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.083 |
Predictive Modules for Medipharm Labs
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Medipharm Labs Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Medipharm Labs
For every potential investor in Medipharm, whether a beginner or expert, Medipharm Labs' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Medipharm OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Medipharm. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Medipharm Labs' price trends.View Medipharm Labs Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Medipharm Labs Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics
The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Medipharm Labs' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Medipharm Labs' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Medipharm Labs Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Medipharm Labs otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Medipharm Labs shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Medipharm Labs otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Medipharm Labs Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Medipharm Labs Risk Indicators
The analysis of Medipharm Labs' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Medipharm Labs' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting medipharm otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.85 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.49 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.1 | |||
| Variance | 16.79 | |||
| Downside Variance | 20.14 | |||
| Semi Variance | 12.16 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.03) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Other Information on Investing in Medipharm OTC Stock
Medipharm Labs financial ratios help investors to determine whether Medipharm OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Medipharm with respect to the benefits of owning Medipharm Labs security.