Methes Energies Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression

MEIL Stock  USD 0.0006  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Methes Energies International on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0006 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000092 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01. Methes Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of Methes Energies' share price is below 20 . This indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Methes Energies' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Methes Energies and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Methes Energies' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Methes Energies International, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Methes Energies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Methes Energies International from the perspective of Methes Energies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Methes Energies International on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0006 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000092 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01.

Methes Energies after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 4.79E-4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Methes Energies to cross-verify your projections.

Methes Energies Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Methes price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Methes using various technical indicators. When you analyze Methes charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Methes Energies price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Methes Energies Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 25th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Methes Energies International on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0006 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000092, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000001, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Methes Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Methes Energies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Methes Energies Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Methes EnergiesMethes Energies Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Methes Energies Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Methes Energies' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Methes Energies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000006 and 31.57, respectively. We have considered Methes Energies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0006
0.000006
Downside
0.0006
Expected Value
31.57
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Methes Energies pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Methes Energies pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria99.9933
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.3485
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0056
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Methes Energies International historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Methes Energies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Methes Energies Inte. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000532.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000532.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.0000610.00050.0009
Details

Methes Energies After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Methes Energies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Methes Energies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Methes Energies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Methes Energies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Methes Energies' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Methes Energies' historical news coverage. Methes Energies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 32.34, respectively. We have considered Methes Energies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.0006
0.0005
After-hype Price
32.34
Upside
Methes Energies is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Methes Energies Inte is based on 3 months time horizon.

Methes Energies Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Methes Energies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Methes Energies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Methes Energies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  3.77 
31.57
 0.00  
  4.07 
0 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.0006
0.0005
20.16 
0.00  
Notes

Methes Energies Hype Timeline

Methes Energies Inte is now traded for 0.0006. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -4.07. Methes is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 4.79E-4. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -20.16%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 3.77%. The volatility of related hype on Methes Energies is about 2923.15%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -4.07. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.04. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Methes Energies Inte recorded a loss per share of 0.24. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Methes Energies to cross-verify your projections.

Methes Energies Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Methes Energies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Methes Energies' future price movements. Getting to know how Methes Energies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Methes Energies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
HALHalliburton 0.09 8 per month 1.60  0.19  4.23 (3.16) 11.25 
PBAPembina Pipeline Corp(1.17)11 per month 1.23  0.05  1.99 (1.63) 6.67 
VGVenture Global(0.08)9 per month 4.13  0.03  6.78 (7.80) 17.61 
DVNDevon Energy 0.82 9 per month 1.64  0.12  3.91 (3.33) 9.52 
ECEcopetrol SA ADR 0.06 10 per month 1.67  0.23  3.80 (3.07) 10.93 
FTITechnipFMC PLC(0.93)16 per month 1.02  0.27  3.59 (1.94) 14.23 
CTRACoterra Energy 0.06 3 per month 1.54  0.11  2.45 (2.90) 9.69 
CQPCheniere Energy Partners(0.28)10 per month 1.15  0.06  2.36 (2.09) 7.32 
TPLTexas Pacific Land(9.37)11 per month 2.23  0.04  5.79 (3.90) 16.39 
EXEELExpand Energy 0.00 9 per month 1.78  0.03  4.97 (3.34) 13.68 

Other Forecasting Options for Methes Energies

For every potential investor in Methes, whether a beginner or expert, Methes Energies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Methes Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Methes. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Methes Energies' price trends.

Methes Energies Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Methes Energies pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Methes Energies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Methes Energies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Methes Energies Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Methes Energies pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Methes Energies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Methes Energies pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Methes Energies International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Methes Energies Risk Indicators

The analysis of Methes Energies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Methes Energies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting methes pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Methes Energies

The number of cover stories for Methes Energies depends on current market conditions and Methes Energies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Methes Energies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Methes Energies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Methes Pink Sheet

Methes Energies financial ratios help investors to determine whether Methes Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Methes with respect to the benefits of owning Methes Energies security.