Meta CDR Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| META Stock | 34.92 1.67 5.02% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Meta CDR on the next trading day is expected to be 35.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.53 and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.82. Meta Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Meta CDR's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Meta CDR's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Meta CDR fundamentals over time.
As of today the value of relative strength index of Meta CDR's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.83) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.262 |
Using Meta CDR hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Meta CDR from the perspective of Meta CDR response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Meta CDR on the next trading day is expected to be 35.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.53 and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.82. Meta CDR after-hype prediction price | CAD 34.92 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Meta CDR Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Meta price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Meta using various technical indicators. When you analyze Meta charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Meta CDR Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Meta CDR on the next trading day is expected to be 35.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.53, mean absolute percentage error of 0.69, and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.82.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Meta Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Meta CDR's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Meta CDR Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Meta CDR | Meta CDR Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Meta CDR Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Meta CDR's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Meta CDR's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 32.82 and 37.18, respectively. We have considered Meta CDR's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Meta CDR stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Meta CDR stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.179 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5303 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0153 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 31.82 |
Predictive Modules for Meta CDR
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Meta CDR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Meta CDR After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Meta CDR at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Meta CDR or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Meta CDR, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Meta CDR Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Meta CDR's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Meta CDR's historical news coverage. Meta CDR's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 32.74 and 37.10, respectively. We have considered Meta CDR's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Meta CDR is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Meta CDR is based on 3 months time horizon.
Meta CDR Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Meta CDR is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Meta CDR backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Meta CDR, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 2.18 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 7 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
34.92 | 34.92 | 0.00 |
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Meta CDR Hype Timeline
Meta CDR is now traded for 34.92on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Meta is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.23%. %. The volatility of related hype on Meta CDR is about 6411.76%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 34.91. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.4. Meta CDR last dividend was issued on the 15th of December 2025. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Meta CDR to cross-verify your projections.Meta CDR Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Meta CDR's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Meta CDR's future price movements. Getting to know how Meta CDR's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Meta CDR may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| USS | Uniserve Communications Corp | 0.00 | 4 per month | 3.31 | 0.01 | 7.55 | (8.33) | 20.90 | |
| IPO | InPlay Oil Corp | (0.14) | 8 per month | 1.36 | 0.12 | 3.31 | (2.34) | 7.97 | |
| LORL | Loral Space Communications | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.29 | 0.00 | 4.46 | |
| PNC-A | Postmedia Network Canada | 0.00 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 0.00 | (4.50) | 14.62 | |
| VZ | Verizon Communications CDR | (0.03) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.93 | (2.24) | 5.48 |
Other Forecasting Options for Meta CDR
For every potential investor in Meta, whether a beginner or expert, Meta CDR's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Meta Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Meta. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Meta CDR's price trends.Meta CDR Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Meta CDR stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Meta CDR could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Meta CDR by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Meta CDR Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Meta CDR stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Meta CDR shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Meta CDR stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Meta CDR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 13272.25 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.477876 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.05 | |||
| Day Median Price | 34.39 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 34.56 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.37 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.67 |
Meta CDR Risk Indicators
The analysis of Meta CDR's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Meta CDR's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting meta stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.39 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.11 | |||
| Variance | 4.46 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Meta CDR
The number of cover stories for Meta CDR depends on current market conditions and Meta CDR's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Meta CDR is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Meta CDR's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Meta CDR Short Properties
Meta CDR's future price predictability will typically decrease when Meta CDR's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Meta CDR often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Meta CDR's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Meta CDR's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 77.8 B |
Other Information on Investing in Meta Stock
Meta CDR financial ratios help investors to determine whether Meta Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Meta with respect to the benefits of owning Meta CDR security.