Mexican Gold OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

MEXGF Stock  USD 0.14  0.01  7.69%   
Mexican OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Mexican Gold's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of RSI of Mexican Gold's otc stock price is roughly 60. This indicates that the otc stock is rather overbought by investors as of 26th of January 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Mexican, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 60

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Mexican Gold Mining stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Mexican Gold shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Mexican Gold's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Mexican Gold and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Mexican Gold's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Mexican Gold Mining, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Mexican Gold based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Mexican Gold hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mexican Gold Mining from the perspective of Mexican Gold response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Mexican Gold Mining on the next trading day is expected to be 0.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.27.

Mexican Gold after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mexican Gold to cross-verify your projections.

Mexican Gold Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Mexican price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mexican using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mexican charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Mexican Gold simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Mexican Gold Mining are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Mexican Gold Mining prices get older.

Mexican Gold Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Mexican Gold Mining on the next trading day is expected to be 0.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000058, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.27.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mexican OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mexican Gold's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Mexican Gold OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Mexican Gold  Mexican Gold Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Mexican Gold Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Mexican Gold's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mexican Gold's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 7.62, respectively. We have considered Mexican Gold's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.14
0.14
Expected Value
7.62
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mexican Gold otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mexican Gold otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria106.5103
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0013
MADMean absolute deviation0.0046
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0436
SAESum of the absolute errors0.2736
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Mexican Gold Mining forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Mexican Gold observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Mexican Gold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mexican Gold Mining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.007.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.007.45
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mexican Gold. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mexican Gold's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mexican Gold's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mexican Gold Mining.

Mexican Gold After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Mexican Gold at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mexican Gold or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Mexican Gold, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Mexican Gold Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Mexican Gold's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mexican Gold's historical news coverage. Mexican Gold's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 7.45, respectively. We have considered Mexican Gold's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.14
0.00
After-hype Price
7.45
Upside
Mexican Gold is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mexican Gold Mining is based on 3 months time horizon.

Mexican Gold OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Mexican Gold is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mexican Gold backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mexican Gold, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.25 
7.48
  0.11 
 0.00  
2 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.14
0.00
0.00 
8,311  
Notes

Mexican Gold Hype Timeline

Mexican Gold Mining is now traded for 0.14. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.11, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Mexican is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 1.25%. %. The volatility of related hype on Mexican Gold is about 623333.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.14. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.01. Mexican Gold Mining last dividend was issued on the 9th of September 2016. The entity had 1:10 split on the 9th of September 2016. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mexican Gold to cross-verify your projections.

Mexican Gold Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Mexican Gold's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mexican Gold's future price movements. Getting to know how Mexican Gold's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mexican Gold may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PBMFFPacific Bay Minerals 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.16) 0.00  0.00  16.40 
JDNRFJayden Resources 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.03  0.00  0.00  67.77 
FMNJFranklin Mining 0.00 0 per month 10.59  0.09  55.56 (20.00) 118.46 
MNMRFMonumental Minerals Corp 0.00 0 per month 9.28  0.01  18.25 (15.87) 42.72 
CMCXFCMC Metals 0.00 0 per month 8.98  0.03  16.67 (16.67) 62.32 
AUCCFGoldplay Mining 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.16  100.00 (11.76) 247.92 
NATUFNorth American Tungsten 0.00 5 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
GMDMFGem Diamonds Limited(0.01)1 per month 0.00  0.13  66.67  0.00  611.54 
ETFLFEastfield Resources 0.00 0 per month 7.30  0.11  24.79 (16.96) 69.89 
MCKRFJade Leader Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Mexican Gold

For every potential investor in Mexican, whether a beginner or expert, Mexican Gold's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mexican OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mexican. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mexican Gold's price trends.

Mexican Gold Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mexican Gold otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mexican Gold could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mexican Gold by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Mexican Gold Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mexican Gold otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mexican Gold shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mexican Gold otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Mexican Gold Mining entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Mexican Gold Risk Indicators

The analysis of Mexican Gold's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mexican Gold's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mexican otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Mexican Gold

The number of cover stories for Mexican Gold depends on current market conditions and Mexican Gold's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mexican Gold is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mexican Gold's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Mexican OTC Stock

Mexican Gold financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mexican OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mexican with respect to the benefits of owning Mexican Gold security.