Microwave Filter Pink Sheet Forward View

MFCO Stock  USD 0.65  0.05  8.33%   
Microwave Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Microwave Filter's pink sheet price is about 65. This indicates that the pink sheet is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Microwave, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 65

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Microwave Filter's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Microwave Filter, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Microwave Filter hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Microwave Filter from the perspective of Microwave Filter response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Microwave Filter on the next trading day is expected to be 0.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.80.

Microwave Filter after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.65  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Microwave Filter to cross-verify your projections.

Microwave Filter Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Microwave price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Microwave using various technical indicators. When you analyze Microwave charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Microwave Filter is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Microwave Filter value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Microwave Filter Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Microwave Filter on the next trading day is expected to be 0.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.80.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Microwave Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Microwave Filter's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Microwave Filter Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Microwave Filter  Microwave Filter Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Microwave Filter Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Microwave Filter's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Microwave Filter's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 9.50, respectively. We have considered Microwave Filter's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.65
0.75
Expected Value
9.50
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Microwave Filter pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Microwave Filter pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.7743
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0296
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0625
SAESum of the absolute errors1.8034
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Microwave Filter. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Microwave Filter. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Microwave Filter

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Microwave Filter. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Microwave Filter's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.659.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.499.24
Details

Microwave Filter After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Microwave Filter at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Microwave Filter or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Microwave Filter, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Microwave Filter Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Microwave Filter's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Microwave Filter's historical news coverage. Microwave Filter's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 9.40, respectively. We have considered Microwave Filter's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.65
0.65
After-hype Price
9.40
Upside
Microwave Filter is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Microwave Filter is based on 3 months time horizon.

Microwave Filter Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Microwave Filter is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Microwave Filter backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Microwave Filter, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.10 
8.75
 0.00  
  0.70 
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.65
0.65
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Microwave Filter Hype Timeline

Microwave Filter is now traded for 0.65. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.7. Microwave is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 1.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on Microwave Filter is about 1376.39%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.35. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.72. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Microwave Filter last dividend was issued on the 11th of July 2012. The entity had 105:100 split on the 19th of November 1987. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Microwave Filter to cross-verify your projections.

Microwave Filter Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Microwave Filter's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Microwave Filter's future price movements. Getting to know how Microwave Filter's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Microwave Filter may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
STRHStar8 Corp 0.00 0 per month 16.12 (0) 50.00 (37.50) 94.24 
NAHDNew Asia Holdings 0 1 per month 0.00 (0.12) 0.00  0.00  103.20 
ISEYFWi2Wi 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.12  0.00  0.00  158.62 
DZSIDZS Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
TONRTonnerOne World Holdings 0.00 0 per month 23.41  0.16  100.00 (50.00) 150.00 
RKNEFOptiva Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.03  0.00  0.00  44.44 
HSTAHestia Insight(0.02)2 per month 0.00 (0.07) 0.00  0.00  67.18 
MYSLMy Screen Mobile 0.00 2 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ENETFEthernity Networks 6.37 12 per month 0.00  0.12  0.00  0.00  17,597 
APTYAPT Systems 0.00 0 per month 11.29  0.08  33.33 (25.00) 58.33 

Other Forecasting Options for Microwave Filter

For every potential investor in Microwave, whether a beginner or expert, Microwave Filter's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Microwave Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Microwave. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Microwave Filter's price trends.

Microwave Filter Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Microwave Filter pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Microwave Filter could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Microwave Filter by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Microwave Filter Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Microwave Filter pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Microwave Filter shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Microwave Filter pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Microwave Filter entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Microwave Filter Risk Indicators

The analysis of Microwave Filter's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Microwave Filter's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting microwave pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Microwave Filter

The number of cover stories for Microwave Filter depends on current market conditions and Microwave Filter's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Microwave Filter is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Microwave Filter's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Microwave Filter Short Properties

Microwave Filter's future price predictability will typically decrease when Microwave Filter's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Microwave Filter often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Microwave Filter's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Microwave Filter's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.6 M
Short Long Term Debt51.1 K

Other Information on Investing in Microwave Pink Sheet

Microwave Filter financial ratios help investors to determine whether Microwave Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Microwave with respect to the benefits of owning Microwave Filter security.