Frontier Markets Mutual Fund Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| MFMPXDelisted Fund | USD 17.33 0.00 0.00% |
Frontier Mutual Fund outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Frontier Markets' mutual fund price is slightly above 62. This indicates that the mutual fund is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Frontier, making its price go up or down. Momentum 62
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Frontier Markets hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Frontier Markets Portfolio from the perspective of Frontier Markets response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Frontier Markets Portfolio on the next trading day is expected to be 17.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.19. Frontier Markets after-hype prediction price | USD 17.33 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Frontier |
Frontier Markets Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Frontier price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Frontier using various technical indicators. When you analyze Frontier charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Frontier Markets Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Frontier Markets Portfolio on the next trading day is expected to be 17.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.19.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Frontier Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Frontier Markets' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Frontier Markets Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Frontier Markets | Frontier Markets Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Frontier Markets mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Frontier Markets mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.7734 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0851 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.005 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.1906 |
Predictive Modules for Frontier Markets
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Frontier Markets Por. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Frontier Markets After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Frontier Markets at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Frontier Markets or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Frontier Markets, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Frontier Markets Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Frontier Markets' mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Frontier Markets' historical news coverage. Frontier Markets' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.33 and 17.33, respectively. We have considered Frontier Markets' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Frontier Markets is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Frontier Markets Por is based on 3 months time horizon.
Frontier Markets Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Frontier Markets is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Frontier Markets backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Frontier Markets, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
17.33 | 17.33 | 0.00 |
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Frontier Markets Hype Timeline
Frontier Markets Por is now traded for 17.33. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Frontier is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Frontier Markets is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.33. The company last dividend was issued on the 16th of December 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be uncertain. Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.Frontier Markets Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Frontier Markets' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Frontier Markets' future price movements. Getting to know how Frontier Markets' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Frontier Markets may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MSRFX | Frontier Markets Portfolio | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FPSVX | Frontier Phocas Small | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| HEMTX | Janus Henderson Emerging | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| HEMRX | Henderson Emerging Markets | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| WEQRX | WEQRX | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SVSCX | Ssga Dynamic Small | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SSSJX | Ssga Dynamic Small | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GTRNX | Gotham Total Return | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TWAOX | Thomas White American | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| USMYX | Asg Tactical Market | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Frontier Markets Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Frontier Markets mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Frontier Markets could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Frontier Markets by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Frontier Markets Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Frontier Markets mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Frontier Markets shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Frontier Markets mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Frontier Markets Portfolio entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Story Coverage note for Frontier Markets
The number of cover stories for Frontier Markets depends on current market conditions and Frontier Markets' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Frontier Markets is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Frontier Markets' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons. You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Other Consideration for investing in Frontier Mutual Fund
If you are still planning to invest in Frontier Markets Por check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Frontier Markets' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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