Compagnie Générale Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

MGDDF Stock  USD 38.50  0.01  0.03%   
Compagnie Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Compagnie Générale's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 28th of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Compagnie Générale's share price is at 54. This indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Compagnie Générale, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 54

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Compagnie Générale's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Compagnie Générale and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Compagnie Générale's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Compagnie Gnrale des, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Compagnie Générale hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Compagnie Gnrale des from the perspective of Compagnie Générale response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Compagnie Gnrale des on the next trading day is expected to be 37.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 83.54.

Compagnie Générale after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 38.5  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Compagnie Générale to cross-verify your projections.

Compagnie Générale Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Compagnie price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Compagnie using various technical indicators. When you analyze Compagnie charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Compagnie Générale simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Compagnie Gnrale des are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Compagnie Gnrale des prices get older.

Compagnie Générale Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Compagnie Gnrale des on the next trading day is expected to be 37.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.39, mean absolute percentage error of 2.72, and the sum of the absolute errors of 83.54.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Compagnie Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Compagnie Générale's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Compagnie Générale Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Compagnie Générale  Compagnie Générale Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Compagnie Générale Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Compagnie Générale's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Compagnie Générale's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 31.85 and 43.90, respectively. We have considered Compagnie Générale's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
38.50
37.88
Expected Value
43.90
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Compagnie Générale pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Compagnie Générale pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.2746
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.169
MADMean absolute deviation1.3924
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0413
SAESum of the absolute errors83.5441
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Compagnie Gnrale des forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Compagnie Générale observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Compagnie Générale

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Compagnie Gnrale des. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Compagnie Générale's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
32.4838.5044.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.7330.7542.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
32.0435.9039.75
Details

Compagnie Générale After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Compagnie Générale at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Compagnie Générale or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Compagnie Générale, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Compagnie Générale Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Compagnie Générale's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Compagnie Générale's historical news coverage. Compagnie Générale's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 32.48 and 44.52, respectively. We have considered Compagnie Générale's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
38.50
38.50
After-hype Price
44.52
Upside
Compagnie Générale is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Compagnie Gnrale des is based on 3 months time horizon.

Compagnie Générale Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Compagnie Générale is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Compagnie Générale backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Compagnie Générale, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.53 
6.02
 0.00  
  0.33 
0 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
38.50
38.50
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Compagnie Générale Hype Timeline

Compagnie Gnrale des is now traded for 38.50. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.33. Compagnie is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.53%. %. The volatility of related hype on Compagnie Générale is about 958.6%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 38.83. About 45.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.14. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Compagnie Gnrale des recorded earning per share (EPS) of 11.17. The entity last dividend was issued on the 17th of May 2022. The firm had 4:1 split on the 16th of June 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Compagnie Générale to cross-verify your projections.

Compagnie Générale Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Compagnie Générale's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Compagnie Générale's future price movements. Getting to know how Compagnie Générale's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Compagnie Générale may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BRDCFBridgestone 1.56 4 per month 22.76  0.16  107.06 (51.76) 161.28 
BRDCYBridgestone Corp ADR 1.56 4 per month 1.40 (0.02) 2.08 (2.30) 8.15 
GWLLFGreat Wall Motor 1.56 4 per month 0.00 (0.1) 2.79 (3.85) 15.76 
GELYFGeely Automobile Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13) 3.23 (4.02) 10.42 
SMTOYSumitomo Electric Industries 0.24 33 per month 2.86  0.19  5.55 (4.58) 14.15 
PTAIYAstra International Tbk 0.00 0 per month 3.26 (0.01) 3.73 (5.28) 14.46 
GXYEFGalaxy Entertainment Group 0.68 4 per month 4.33  0.02  9.88 (7.96) 21.65 
SCHYFSands China 0.68 8 per month 4.89  0.07  11.24 (7.99) 36.62 
CTTAYContinental AG PK 0.00 0 per month 1.37  0.05  2.23 (2.56) 6.77 
CTTAFContinental Aktiengesellschaft 0.00 0 per month 2.33  0.04  4.12 (3.26) 11.48 

Other Forecasting Options for Compagnie Générale

For every potential investor in Compagnie, whether a beginner or expert, Compagnie Générale's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Compagnie Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Compagnie. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Compagnie Générale's price trends.

Compagnie Générale Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Compagnie Générale pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Compagnie Générale could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Compagnie Générale by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Compagnie Générale Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Compagnie Générale pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Compagnie Générale shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Compagnie Générale pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Compagnie Gnrale des entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Compagnie Générale Risk Indicators

The analysis of Compagnie Générale's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Compagnie Générale's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting compagnie pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Compagnie Générale

The number of cover stories for Compagnie Générale depends on current market conditions and Compagnie Générale's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Compagnie Générale is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Compagnie Générale's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Information on Investing in Compagnie Pink Sheet

Compagnie Générale financial ratios help investors to determine whether Compagnie Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Compagnie with respect to the benefits of owning Compagnie Générale security.