Compagnie Generale Pink Sheet Forward View
| MGDDY Stock | USD 18.55 0.25 1.33% |
Compagnie Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Compagnie Generale's pink sheet price is slightly above 67. This indicates that the pink sheet is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Compagnie, making its price go up or down. Momentum 67
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Compagnie Generale hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Compagnie Generale des from the perspective of Compagnie Generale response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Compagnie Generale des on the next trading day is expected to be 18.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.52. Compagnie Generale after-hype prediction price | USD 18.51 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Compagnie |
Compagnie Generale Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Compagnie price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Compagnie using various technical indicators. When you analyze Compagnie charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Compagnie Generale Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Compagnie Generale des on the next trading day is expected to be 18.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.52.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Compagnie Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Compagnie Generale's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Compagnie Generale Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Compagnie Generale | Compagnie Generale Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Compagnie Generale Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Compagnie Generale's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Compagnie Generale's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 17.39 and 20.32, respectively. We have considered Compagnie Generale's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Compagnie Generale pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Compagnie Generale pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.312 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1888 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0113 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11.5187 |
Predictive Modules for Compagnie Generale
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Compagnie Generale des. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Compagnie Generale's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Compagnie Generale After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Compagnie Generale at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Compagnie Generale or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Compagnie Generale, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Compagnie Generale Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Compagnie Generale's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Compagnie Generale's historical news coverage. Compagnie Generale's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.05 and 19.97, respectively. We have considered Compagnie Generale's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Compagnie Generale is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Compagnie Generale des is based on 3 months time horizon.
Compagnie Generale Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Compagnie Generale is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Compagnie Generale backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Compagnie Generale, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 1.46 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 4 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
18.55 | 18.51 | 0.22 |
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Compagnie Generale Hype Timeline
Compagnie Generale des is now traded for 18.55. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Compagnie is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 18.51. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.22%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.26%. The volatility of related hype on Compagnie Generale is about 701.92%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.50. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.17. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Compagnie Generale des last dividend was issued on the 13th of May 2022. The entity had 8:5 split on the 22nd of June 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Compagnie Generale to cross-verify your projections.Compagnie Generale Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Compagnie Generale's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Compagnie Generale's future price movements. Getting to know how Compagnie Generale's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Compagnie Generale may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GELYF | Geely Automobile Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.23 | (4.18) | 10.42 | |
| GWLLF | Great Wall Motor | (0.14) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.91 | (3.85) | 15.76 | |
| PTAIY | Astra International Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 4.74 | (5.28) | 14.46 | |
| BRDCF | Bridgestone | (0.14) | 4 per month | 21.76 | 0.18 | 107.06 | (51.76) | 161.28 | |
| GXYEF | Galaxy Entertainment Group | (1.85) | 21 per month | 4.16 | 0.01 | 7.10 | (7.58) | 19.99 | |
| PTAIF | PT Astra International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.70 | |
| BRDCY | Bridgestone Corp ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.37 | (0.01) | 2.08 | (2.30) | 8.15 | |
| CTTAY | Continental AG PK | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.54 | 0.02 | 2.13 | (2.61) | 6.77 | |
| CTTAF | Continental Aktiengesellschaft | 0.05 | 4 per month | 2.26 | 0.04 | 4.12 | (3.26) | 11.48 | |
| SCHYF | Sands China | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.11 | 0 | 11.24 | (8.68) | 36.62 |
Other Forecasting Options for Compagnie Generale
For every potential investor in Compagnie, whether a beginner or expert, Compagnie Generale's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Compagnie Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Compagnie. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Compagnie Generale's price trends.Compagnie Generale Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Compagnie Generale pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Compagnie Generale could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Compagnie Generale by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Compagnie Generale Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Compagnie Generale pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Compagnie Generale shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Compagnie Generale pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Compagnie Generale des entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Compagnie Generale Risk Indicators
The analysis of Compagnie Generale's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Compagnie Generale's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting compagnie pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.942 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9439 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.44 | |||
| Variance | 2.09 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.58 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.8909 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.02) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Compagnie Generale
The number of cover stories for Compagnie Generale depends on current market conditions and Compagnie Generale's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Compagnie Generale is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Compagnie Generale's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Compagnie Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Compagnie Generale's price analysis, check to measure Compagnie Generale's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Compagnie Generale is operating at the current time. Most of Compagnie Generale's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Compagnie Generale's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Compagnie Generale's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Compagnie Generale to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.