MFS Government Etf Forecast - Simple Regression
| MGF Etf | USD 3.09 0.01 0.32% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of MFS Government Markets on the next trading day is expected to be 3.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.92. MFS Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of MFS Government's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
MFS |
MFS Government Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 23rd of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of MFS Government Markets on the next trading day is expected to be 3.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.92.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MFS Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that MFS Government's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
MFS Government Etf Forecast Pattern
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MFS Government Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting MFS Government's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. MFS Government's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.59 and 3.66, respectively. We have considered MFS Government's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MFS Government etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MFS Government etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.6305 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0315 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0099 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.924 |
Predictive Modules for MFS Government
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MFS Government Markets. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for MFS Government
For every potential investor in MFS, whether a beginner or expert, MFS Government's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MFS Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MFS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying MFS Government's price trends.MFS Government Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with MFS Government etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of MFS Government could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MFS Government by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
MFS Government Markets Technical and Predictive Analytics
The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of MFS Government's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of MFS Government's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
MFS Government Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MFS Government etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MFS Government shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MFS Government etf market strength indicators, traders can identify MFS Government Markets entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 77.94 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.5 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 3.08 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 3.08 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.015 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.01 |
MFS Government Risk Indicators
The analysis of MFS Government's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MFS Government's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mfs etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.4065 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.5525 | |||
| Variance | 0.3052 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in MFS Etf
MFS Government financial ratios help investors to determine whether MFS Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MFS with respect to the benefits of owning MFS Government security.