Mercury NZ Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Regression
| MGHTF Stock | USD 4.03 0.00 0.00% |
Mercury Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Mercury NZ's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 7th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Mercury NZ's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Mercury NZ hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mercury NZ Limited from the perspective of Mercury NZ response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Mercury NZ Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 4.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.90. Mercury NZ after-hype prediction price | USD 4.03 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Mercury |
Mercury NZ Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Mercury price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mercury using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mercury charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Mercury NZ Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 8th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Mercury NZ Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 4.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24, mean absolute percentage error of 0.20, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.90.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mercury Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mercury NZ's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Mercury NZ Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Mercury NZ | Mercury NZ Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Mercury NZ Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Mercury NZ's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mercury NZ's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 17.59, respectively. We have considered Mercury NZ's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mercury NZ pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mercury NZ pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.4978 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2443 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0875 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 14.9049 |
Predictive Modules for Mercury NZ
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mercury NZ Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mercury NZ's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Mercury NZ After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Mercury NZ at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mercury NZ or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Mercury NZ, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Mercury NZ Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Mercury NZ's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mercury NZ's historical news coverage. Mercury NZ's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.20 and 17.55, respectively. We have considered Mercury NZ's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Mercury NZ is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mercury NZ Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.
Mercury NZ Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Mercury NZ is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mercury NZ backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mercury NZ, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.80 | 13.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
4.03 | 4.03 | 0.00 |
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Mercury NZ Hype Timeline
Mercury NZ Limited is now traded for 4.03. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Mercury is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.8%. %. The volatility of related hype on Mercury NZ is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.03. About 52.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.34. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Mercury NZ Limited had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mercury NZ to cross-verify your projections.Mercury NZ Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Mercury NZ's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mercury NZ's future price movements. Getting to know how Mercury NZ's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mercury NZ may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IFUUF | Infratil Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.42 | 0.00 | 37.15 | |
| HRASF | Hera SpA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NOSPF | Neoen SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CDUUF | Canadian Utilities Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TREAY | Terna Energy Societe | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 0.76 | 0.00 | 8.43 | |
| CPOIF | Capstone Infrastructure | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BRENF | Brookfield Renewable Partners | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.82 | |
| ENGH | Energy Harbor Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TRSWF | TransAlta Renewables | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CTPTY | CTEEP Companhia De | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Mercury NZ
For every potential investor in Mercury, whether a beginner or expert, Mercury NZ's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mercury Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mercury. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mercury NZ's price trends.Mercury NZ Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mercury NZ pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mercury NZ could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mercury NZ by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Mercury NZ Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mercury NZ pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mercury NZ shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mercury NZ pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Mercury NZ Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Mercury NZ Risk Indicators
The analysis of Mercury NZ's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mercury NZ's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mercury pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.9 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 13.2 | |||
| Variance | 174.35 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Mercury NZ
The number of cover stories for Mercury NZ depends on current market conditions and Mercury NZ's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mercury NZ is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mercury NZ's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Mercury NZ Short Properties
Mercury NZ's future price predictability will typically decrease when Mercury NZ's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Mercury NZ Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Mercury NZ's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mercury NZ's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.16 | |
| Float Shares | 667.14M | |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 4.45% |
Other Information on Investing in Mercury Pink Sheet
Mercury NZ financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mercury Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mercury with respect to the benefits of owning Mercury NZ security.