Mangoceuticals, Common Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

MGRX Stock   2.65  0.15  6.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Mangoceuticals, Common Stock on the next trading day is expected to be 2.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.23. Mangoceuticals, Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Mangoceuticals, Common's Payables Turnover is fairly stable compared to the past year. Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to rise to 3.57 in 2024, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 12.97 in 2024. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 1.4 M in 2024. Net Loss is likely to rise to about (1.7 M) in 2024.
Mangoceuticals, Common simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Mangoceuticals, Common Stock are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Mangoceuticals, Common prices get older.

Mangoceuticals, Common Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Mangoceuticals, Common Stock on the next trading day is expected to be 2.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.23.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mangoceuticals, Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mangoceuticals, Common's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Mangoceuticals, Common Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Mangoceuticals, CommonMangoceuticals, Common Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Mangoceuticals, Common Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Mangoceuticals, Common's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mangoceuticals, Common's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 8.83, respectively. We have considered Mangoceuticals, Common's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.65
2.65
Expected Value
8.83
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mangoceuticals, Common stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mangoceuticals, Common stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.0474
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0158
MADMean absolute deviation0.1372
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0424
SAESum of the absolute errors8.23
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Mangoceuticals, Common Stock forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Mangoceuticals, Common observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Mangoceuticals, Common

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mangoceuticals, Common. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.142.728.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.132.548.72
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Mangoceuticals, Common

For every potential investor in Mangoceuticals,, whether a beginner or expert, Mangoceuticals, Common's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mangoceuticals, Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mangoceuticals,. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mangoceuticals, Common's price trends.

Mangoceuticals, Common Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mangoceuticals, Common stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mangoceuticals, Common could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mangoceuticals, Common by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Mangoceuticals, Common Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Mangoceuticals, Common's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Mangoceuticals, Common's current price.

Mangoceuticals, Common Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mangoceuticals, Common stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mangoceuticals, Common shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mangoceuticals, Common stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Mangoceuticals, Common Stock entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Mangoceuticals, Common Risk Indicators

The analysis of Mangoceuticals, Common's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mangoceuticals, Common's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mangoceuticals, stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Mangoceuticals, Stock Analysis

When running Mangoceuticals, Common's price analysis, check to measure Mangoceuticals, Common's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mangoceuticals, Common is operating at the current time. Most of Mangoceuticals, Common's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mangoceuticals, Common's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mangoceuticals, Common's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mangoceuticals, Common to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.