MGT Capital Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| MGTI Stock | USD 0 0.0001 2.94% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of MGT Capital Investments on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0003 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.02. MGT Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of MGT Capital's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 25th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of MGT Capital's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using MGT Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MGT Capital Investments from the perspective of MGT Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of MGT Capital Investments on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0003 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.02. MGT Capital after-hype prediction price | USD 0.003122 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
MGT |
MGT Capital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine MGT price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MGT using various technical indicators. When you analyze MGT charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
MGT Capital Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of MGT Capital Investments on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0003, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000014, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.02.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MGT Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that MGT Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
MGT Capital Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest MGT Capital | MGT Capital Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
MGT Capital Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting MGT Capital's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. MGT Capital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000033 and 69.13, respectively. We have considered MGT Capital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MGT Capital pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MGT Capital pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 102.3629 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.0E-4 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.4491 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0155 |
Predictive Modules for MGT Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MGT Capital Investments. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MGT Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
MGT Capital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of MGT Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MGT Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of MGT Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
MGT Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting MGT Capital's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MGT Capital's historical news coverage. MGT Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 50.17, respectively. We have considered MGT Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
MGT Capital is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MGT Capital Investments is based on 3 months time horizon.
MGT Capital Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as MGT Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MGT Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MGT Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
17.49 | 69.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0 | 0 | 5.41 |
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MGT Capital Hype Timeline
MGT Capital Investments is now traded for 0. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. MGT is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.003122. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -5.41%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 17.49%. The volatility of related hype on MGT Capital is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. About 20.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.0. MGT Capital Investments had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 15:500 split on the 22nd of March 2012. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MGT Capital to cross-verify your projections.MGT Capital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to MGT Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MGT Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how MGT Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MGT Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WWDH | Worldwide Holdings Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 50.00 | |
| FCGD | First Colombia Gold | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TRDX | Trend Exploration I | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 74.40 | |
| BYSD | Bayside Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.88 | 0.11 | 15.73 | (13.00) | 61.63 | |
| KGRI | Kiley Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CFGX | Capital Financial Gl | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| EGDD | Eastern Goldfields | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 283.33 | |
| LVGI | Limitless Venture | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 45.00 | |
| CCTL | Coin Citadel | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BICB | BioCube | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 50.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for MGT Capital
For every potential investor in MGT, whether a beginner or expert, MGT Capital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MGT Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MGT. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying MGT Capital's price trends.MGT Capital Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with MGT Capital pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of MGT Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MGT Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
MGT Capital Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MGT Capital pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MGT Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MGT Capital pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify MGT Capital Investments entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.32 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.08) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.0032 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.0032 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.0012 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.0001) |
MGT Capital Risk Indicators
The analysis of MGT Capital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MGT Capital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mgt pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 38.27 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 19.81 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 67.09 | |||
| Variance | 4501.52 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1214.62 | |||
| Semi Variance | 392.47 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (78.35) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for MGT Capital
The number of cover stories for MGT Capital depends on current market conditions and MGT Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MGT Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MGT Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in MGT Pink Sheet
MGT Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether MGT Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MGT with respect to the benefits of owning MGT Capital security.