Mahindra Mahindra Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

MHID Stock  USD 39.30  0.90  2.24%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Mahindra Mahindra Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 39.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.53 and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.19. Mahindra Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Mahindra Mahindra's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Mahindra Mahindra's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Mahindra Mahindra fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength momentum indicator of Mahindra Mahindra's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Mahindra Mahindra's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Mahindra Mahindra and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Mahindra Mahindra's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Mahindra Mahindra Limited, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Mahindra Mahindra's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.596
Wall Street Target Price
17.9
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.195
Using Mahindra Mahindra hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mahindra Mahindra Limited from the perspective of Mahindra Mahindra response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Mahindra Mahindra Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 39.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.53 and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.19.

Mahindra Mahindra after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 39.3  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mahindra Mahindra to cross-verify your projections.
Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to rise to 7.35 this year, although the value of Inventory Turnover will most likely fall to 3.22. . Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to rise to about 79.4 B this year, although the value of Common Stock Shares Outstanding will most likely fall to about 946.1 M.

Mahindra Mahindra Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Mahindra price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mahindra using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mahindra charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Mahindra Mahindra simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Mahindra Mahindra Limited are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Mahindra Mahindra prices get older.

Mahindra Mahindra Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 22nd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Mahindra Mahindra Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 39.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.53, mean absolute percentage error of 0.68, and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.19.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mahindra Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mahindra Mahindra's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Mahindra Mahindra Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Mahindra MahindraMahindra Mahindra Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Mahindra Mahindra Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Mahindra Mahindra's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mahindra Mahindra's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 37.35 and 41.60, respectively. We have considered Mahindra Mahindra's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
39.30
39.47
Expected Value
41.60
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mahindra Mahindra stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mahindra Mahindra stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.7224
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0516
MADMean absolute deviation0.5277
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0127
SAESum of the absolute errors32.1916
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Mahindra Mahindra Limited forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Mahindra Mahindra observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Mahindra Mahindra

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mahindra Mahindra. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.1739.3041.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
31.8433.9743.23
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Mahindra Mahindra

For every potential investor in Mahindra, whether a beginner or expert, Mahindra Mahindra's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mahindra Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mahindra. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mahindra Mahindra's price trends.

Mahindra Mahindra Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mahindra Mahindra stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mahindra Mahindra could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mahindra Mahindra by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Mahindra Mahindra Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Mahindra Mahindra's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Mahindra Mahindra's current price.

Mahindra Mahindra Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mahindra Mahindra stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mahindra Mahindra shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mahindra Mahindra stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Mahindra Mahindra Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Mahindra Mahindra Risk Indicators

The analysis of Mahindra Mahindra's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mahindra Mahindra's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mahindra stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Prophet is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Prophet

Other Information on Investing in Mahindra Stock

Mahindra Mahindra financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mahindra Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mahindra with respect to the benefits of owning Mahindra Mahindra security.