Mitsui Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

MITSF Stock  USD 31.25  0.96  2.98%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Mitsui Co on the next trading day is expected to be 31.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.17. Mitsui Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Mitsui's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 24th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Mitsui's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Mitsui's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Mitsui and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Mitsui's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Mitsui Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Mitsui hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mitsui Co from the perspective of Mitsui response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Mitsui Co on the next trading day is expected to be 31.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.17.

Mitsui after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 31.04  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mitsui to cross-verify your projections.

Mitsui Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Mitsui price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mitsui using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mitsui charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Triple exponential smoothing for Mitsui - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Mitsui prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Mitsui price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Mitsui.

Mitsui Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Mitsui Co on the next trading day is expected to be 31.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.49, mean absolute percentage error of 0.43, and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.17.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mitsui Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mitsui's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Mitsui Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest MitsuiMitsui Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Mitsui Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Mitsui's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mitsui's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 29.01 and 33.63, respectively. We have considered Mitsui's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
31.25
31.32
Expected Value
33.63
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mitsui pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mitsui pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0756
MADMean absolute deviation0.4862
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.017
SAESum of the absolute errors29.174
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Mitsui observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Mitsui Co observations.

Predictive Modules for Mitsui

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mitsui. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mitsui's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.7331.0433.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.7425.0534.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
26.7229.9533.18
Details

Mitsui After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Mitsui at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mitsui or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Mitsui, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Mitsui Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Mitsui's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mitsui's historical news coverage. Mitsui's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 28.73 and 33.35, respectively. We have considered Mitsui's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
31.25
31.04
After-hype Price
33.35
Upside
Mitsui is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mitsui is based on 3 months time horizon.

Mitsui Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Mitsui is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mitsui backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mitsui, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.36 
2.31
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
31.25
31.04
0.67 
0.00  
Notes

Mitsui Hype Timeline

Mitsui is now traded for 31.25. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Mitsui is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 31.04. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.67%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.36%. The volatility of related hype on Mitsui is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 31.25. About 47.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.03. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Mitsui last dividend was issued on the 30th of March 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mitsui to cross-verify your projections.

Mitsui Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Mitsui's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mitsui's future price movements. Getting to know how Mitsui's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mitsui may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Mitsui

For every potential investor in Mitsui, whether a beginner or expert, Mitsui's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mitsui Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mitsui. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mitsui's price trends.

Mitsui Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mitsui pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mitsui could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mitsui by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Mitsui Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mitsui pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mitsui shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mitsui pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Mitsui Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Mitsui Risk Indicators

The analysis of Mitsui's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mitsui's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mitsui pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Mitsui

The number of cover stories for Mitsui depends on current market conditions and Mitsui's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mitsui is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mitsui's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Mitsui Pink Sheet

Mitsui financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mitsui Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mitsui with respect to the benefits of owning Mitsui security.