Amplify Alternative Etf Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| MJ Etf | USD 26.07 0.67 2.51% |
Amplify Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now, the relative strength momentum indicator of Amplify Alternative's share price is approaching 42. This indicates that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Amplify Alternative, making its price go up or down. Momentum 42
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Amplify Alternative hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Amplify Alternative Harvest from the perspective of Amplify Alternative response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Amplify Alternative using Amplify Alternative's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Amplify using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Amplify Alternative's stock price.
Amplify Alternative Implied Volatility | 0.98 |
Amplify Alternative's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Amplify Alternative Harvest stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Amplify Alternative's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Amplify Alternative stock will not fluctuate a lot when Amplify Alternative's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Amplify Alternative Harvest on the next trading day is expected to be 26.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 72.95. Amplify Alternative after-hype prediction price | USD 26.07 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amplify Alternative to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Amplify contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Amplify Alternative Harvest will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0613% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Amplify Alternative trading at USD 26.07, that is roughly USD 0.016 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Amplify Alternative's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Amplify Alternative Harvest options at the current volatility level of 0.98%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Amplify Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Amplify Alternative's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Amplify Alternative's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Amplify Alternative stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Amplify Alternative's open interest, investors have to compare it to Amplify Alternative's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Amplify Alternative is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Amplify. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Amplify Alternative Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Amplify price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Amplify using various technical indicators. When you analyze Amplify charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Amplify Alternative Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Amplify Alternative Harvest on the next trading day is expected to be 26.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.22, mean absolute percentage error of 4.51, and the sum of the absolute errors of 72.95.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Amplify Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Amplify Alternative's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Amplify Alternative Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Amplify Alternative | Amplify Alternative Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Amplify Alternative Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Amplify Alternative's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Amplify Alternative's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.83 and 33.31, respectively. We have considered Amplify Alternative's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Amplify Alternative etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Amplify Alternative etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.7778 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0582 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.2158 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0395 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 72.95 |
Predictive Modules for Amplify Alternative
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amplify Alternative. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Amplify Alternative After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Amplify Alternative at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Amplify Alternative or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Amplify Alternative, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Amplify Alternative Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Amplify Alternative's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Amplify Alternative's historical news coverage. Amplify Alternative's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.83 and 33.31, respectively. We have considered Amplify Alternative's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Amplify Alternative is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Amplify Alternative is based on 3 months time horizon.
Amplify Alternative Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Amplify Alternative is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Amplify Alternative backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Amplify Alternative, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 7.24 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
26.07 | 26.07 | 0.00 |
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Amplify Alternative Hype Timeline
As of February 2, 2026 Amplify Alternative is listed for 26.07. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Amplify is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Amplify Alternative is about 144800.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 26.07. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amplify Alternative to cross-verify your projections.Amplify Alternative Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Amplify Alternative's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Amplify Alternative's future price movements. Getting to know how Amplify Alternative's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Amplify Alternative may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FPXE | First Trust IPOX | 0.04 | 3 per month | 0.89 | (0.02) | 1.21 | (1.23) | 3.10 | |
| KNOW | Direxion All Cap | 0.06 | 8 per month | 0.42 | 0.06 | 0.93 | (0.91) | 1.94 | |
| EMOT | First Trust Exchange Traded | 0.04 | 1 per month | 0.67 | (0.01) | 1.28 | (1.10) | 3.24 | |
| MIDE | DBX ETF Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.72 | 0.11 | 1.51 | (1.66) | 4.91 | |
| TINY | ProShares Nanotechnology ETF | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.28 | 0.16 | 3.16 | (2.48) | 7.26 | |
| SOLR | Guinness Atkinson Funds | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.14 | 0.04 | 1.75 | (2.08) | 4.73 | |
| ODDS | Pacer BlueStar Digital | (0.09) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 1.31 | (2.22) | 4.63 | |
| FLDZ | Listed Funds Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.64 | 0.01 | 1.25 | (1.23) | 3.60 | |
| KBUF | KraneShares Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.58 | (0.07) | 1.09 | (1.05) | 3.50 | |
| KBAB | KraneShares 2x Long | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 10.46 | (6.95) | 26.87 |
Other Forecasting Options for Amplify Alternative
For every potential investor in Amplify, whether a beginner or expert, Amplify Alternative's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Amplify Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Amplify. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Amplify Alternative's price trends.Amplify Alternative Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Amplify Alternative etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Amplify Alternative could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Amplify Alternative by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Amplify Alternative Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Amplify Alternative etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Amplify Alternative shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Amplify Alternative etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Amplify Alternative Harvest entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Amplify Alternative Risk Indicators
The analysis of Amplify Alternative's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Amplify Alternative's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting amplify etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.97 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.02 | |||
| Variance | 49.29 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Amplify Alternative
The number of cover stories for Amplify Alternative depends on current market conditions and Amplify Alternative's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Amplify Alternative is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Amplify Alternative's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amplify Alternative to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Understanding Amplify Alternative requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Amplify's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Amplify Alternative's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investment professionals apply varied valuation frameworks to compute inherent worth and acquire positions when market prices trade at discounts to calculated value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Amplify Alternative's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Amplify Alternative's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Amplify Alternative represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Amplify Alternative's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.