Medical Marijuana Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

MJNA Stock  USD 0.0006  0.0001  14.29%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Medical Marijuana I on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0006 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000042 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Medical Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Medical Marijuana stock prices and determine the direction of Medical Marijuana I's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Medical Marijuana's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Medical Marijuana is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Medical Marijuana I value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Medical Marijuana Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Medical Marijuana I on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0006 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000042, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Medical Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Medical Marijuana's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Medical Marijuana Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Medical Marijuana Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Medical Marijuana's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Medical Marijuana's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000006 and 9.68, respectively. We have considered Medical Marijuana's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0006
0.000006
Downside
0.0006
Expected Value
9.68
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Medical Marijuana pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Medical Marijuana pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria98.5936
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0482
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0026
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Medical Marijuana I. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Medical Marijuana. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Medical Marijuana

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Medical Marijuana. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00079.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.00069.68
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00050.00070.001
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Medical Marijuana

For every potential investor in Medical, whether a beginner or expert, Medical Marijuana's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Medical Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Medical. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Medical Marijuana's price trends.

Medical Marijuana Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Medical Marijuana pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Medical Marijuana could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Medical Marijuana by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Medical Marijuana Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Medical Marijuana's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Medical Marijuana's current price.

Medical Marijuana Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Medical Marijuana pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Medical Marijuana shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Medical Marijuana pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Medical Marijuana I entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Medical Marijuana Risk Indicators

The analysis of Medical Marijuana's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Medical Marijuana's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting medical pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Medical Pink Sheet

Medical Marijuana financial ratios help investors to determine whether Medical Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Medical with respect to the benefits of owning Medical Marijuana security.