Matthews International ETF Forward View - 4 Period Moving Average
| MKOR ETF | 64.83 -0.20 -0.31% |
The 4 Period Moving Average output for Matthews International Funds is derived from daily price data across the evaluation window. The error pattern reveals whether the model tracked prices consistently or diverged during volatile sessions. Parameters are re-estimated as new trading sessions are recorded, keeping the forecast current. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate a tighter fit to recent price behavior. The 4 Period Moving Average model projects Matthews International at 64.01 for the next trading day, below the most recent closing price. Matthews International's 4 Period Moving Average forecast is intended for short-term analytical reference.
4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 12th of May 2026
Over a 90-day horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average model forecasts Matthews International at 64.01 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 1.95 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.04 , and sum of absolute errors of 111.33 .This represents a tight forecast with good short-term tracking of Matthews International's price movement. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
ETF Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Matthews International | Matthews International Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This forecast for Matthews International frames the expected trading range using downside and upside bounds rather than a single point target. The projected band runs from roughly 60.59 on the downside to about 67.43 on the upside. The wide range indicates elevated uncertainty in short-term projections.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the 4 Period Moving Average model's error metrics for Matthews International ETF. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.4323 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.7702 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.9531 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0391 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 111.3275 |
Other Forecasting Options for Matthews International
Relative Strength Index values for Matthews measure the speed and magnitude of recent price changes. Recognizing these clusters in Matthews International's returns informs position size and stop-loss calibration. Candlestick pattern analysis of Matthews ETF daily data reveals short-term reversal or continuation signals. Identifying these patterns in Matthews ETF data supports better trade timing.Matthews International Comparable Funds
These peer funds are related to Matthews International and help frame its category context. This peer set gives investors a way to compare Matthews International's structure and outcomes against similar portfolio vehicles. Peer comparison adds context for Matthews International without forcing a company-style competitive framework onto the fund. This makes the peer set a useful category benchmark for Matthews International.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Matthews International Market Strength Events
Accumulation/Distribution and Balance of Power for Matthews International reveal whether buying or selling pressure dominates recent sessions. Balance of Power trending positive indicates that buyers are consistently closing Matthews International near session highs. These signals help explain whether price direction and session structure are moving together for Matthews International. Combine market strength readings with the price and volatility measures above for a more complete analytical picture of Matthews International.
Matthews International Risk Indicators
Risk indicator analysis for Matthews International quantifies how much price variability the ETF has exhibited over the measurement window. Downside variance exceeding total variance indicates that negative moves in Matthews International have been larger or more frequent than positive ones. Mean deviation provides a more intuitive measure of typical price fluctuation than variance because it stays in the same units as Matthews International's price. Elevated expected shortfall for Matthews International suggests that tail-risk hedging may be more important than average-case optimization.
| Mean Deviation | 2.6 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.01 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.4 | |||
| Variance | 11.55 | |||
| Downside Variance | 12.75 | |||
| Semi Variance | 9.09 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -2.74 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.