Multilaser Industrial Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

MLAS3 Stock   1.36  0.05  3.55%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Multilaser Industrial SA on the next trading day is expected to be 1.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.81. Multilaser Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Multilaser Industrial polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Multilaser Industrial SA as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Multilaser Industrial Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Multilaser Industrial SA on the next trading day is expected to be 1.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.81.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Multilaser Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Multilaser Industrial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Multilaser Industrial Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Multilaser IndustrialMultilaser Industrial Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Multilaser Industrial Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Multilaser Industrial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Multilaser Industrial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 4.26, respectively. We have considered Multilaser Industrial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.36
1.37
Expected Value
4.26
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Multilaser Industrial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Multilaser Industrial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.4046
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0461
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0279
SAESum of the absolute errors2.8132
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Multilaser Industrial historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Multilaser Industrial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Multilaser Industrial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.364.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.254.14
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Multilaser Industrial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Multilaser Industrial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Multilaser Industrial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Multilaser Industrial.

Other Forecasting Options for Multilaser Industrial

For every potential investor in Multilaser, whether a beginner or expert, Multilaser Industrial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Multilaser Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Multilaser. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Multilaser Industrial's price trends.

Multilaser Industrial Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Multilaser Industrial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Multilaser Industrial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Multilaser Industrial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Multilaser Industrial Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Multilaser Industrial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Multilaser Industrial's current price.

Multilaser Industrial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Multilaser Industrial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Multilaser Industrial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Multilaser Industrial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Multilaser Industrial SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Multilaser Industrial Risk Indicators

The analysis of Multilaser Industrial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Multilaser Industrial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting multilaser stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Multilaser Stock Analysis

When running Multilaser Industrial's price analysis, check to measure Multilaser Industrial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Multilaser Industrial is operating at the current time. Most of Multilaser Industrial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Multilaser Industrial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Multilaser Industrial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Multilaser Industrial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.