Metalliance Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

MLETA Stock  EUR 8.50  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Metalliance SA on the next trading day is expected to be 8.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Metalliance Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Metalliance simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Metalliance SA are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Metalliance SA prices get older.

Metalliance Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Metalliance SA on the next trading day is expected to be 8.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Metalliance Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Metalliance's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Metalliance Stock Forecast Pattern

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Metalliance Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Metalliance's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Metalliance's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.50 and 8.50, respectively. We have considered Metalliance's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
8.50
8.50
Expected Value
8.50
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Metalliance stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Metalliance stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Metalliance SA forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Metalliance observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Metalliance

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Metalliance SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.508.508.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.508.508.50
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Metalliance. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Metalliance's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Metalliance's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Metalliance SA.

Other Forecasting Options for Metalliance

For every potential investor in Metalliance, whether a beginner or expert, Metalliance's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Metalliance Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Metalliance. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Metalliance's price trends.

Metalliance Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Metalliance stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Metalliance could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Metalliance by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Metalliance SA Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Metalliance's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Metalliance's current price.

Metalliance Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Metalliance stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Metalliance shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Metalliance stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Metalliance SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Metalliance Stock Analysis

When running Metalliance's price analysis, check to measure Metalliance's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Metalliance is operating at the current time. Most of Metalliance's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Metalliance's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Metalliance's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Metalliance to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.