Impulse Fitness Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

MLIFS Stock   7.95  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Impulse Fitness Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 8.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.38. Impulse Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Impulse Fitness is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Impulse Fitness Solutions value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Impulse Fitness Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Impulse Fitness Solutions on the next trading day is expected to be 8.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.38.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Impulse Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Impulse Fitness' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Impulse Fitness Stock Forecast Pattern

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Impulse Fitness Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Impulse Fitness' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Impulse Fitness' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.26 and 8.87, respectively. We have considered Impulse Fitness' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
7.95
8.06
Expected Value
8.87
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Impulse Fitness stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Impulse Fitness stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.9128
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0545
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0067
SAESum of the absolute errors3.3761
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Impulse Fitness Solutions. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Impulse Fitness. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Impulse Fitness

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Impulse Fitness Solutions. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Impulse Fitness' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.157.958.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.169.5410.34
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Impulse Fitness

For every potential investor in Impulse, whether a beginner or expert, Impulse Fitness' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Impulse Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Impulse. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Impulse Fitness' price trends.

Impulse Fitness Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Impulse Fitness stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Impulse Fitness could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Impulse Fitness by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Impulse Fitness Solutions Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Impulse Fitness' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Impulse Fitness' current price.

Impulse Fitness Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Impulse Fitness stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Impulse Fitness shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Impulse Fitness stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Impulse Fitness Solutions entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Impulse Fitness Risk Indicators

The analysis of Impulse Fitness' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Impulse Fitness' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting impulse stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Impulse Stock Analysis

When running Impulse Fitness' price analysis, check to measure Impulse Fitness' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Impulse Fitness is operating at the current time. Most of Impulse Fitness' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Impulse Fitness' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Impulse Fitness' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Impulse Fitness to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.