Milestone Scientific Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| MLSS Stock | USD 0.30 0.0005 0.17% |
Milestone Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Milestone Scientific's share price is approaching 43. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Milestone Scientific, making its price go up or down. Momentum 43
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year (0.07) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.06) | Wall Street Target Price 1 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.01) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) |
Using Milestone Scientific hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Milestone Scientific from the perspective of Milestone Scientific response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Milestone Scientific using Milestone Scientific's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Milestone using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Milestone Scientific's stock price.
Milestone Scientific Implied Volatility | 0.0 |
Milestone Scientific's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Milestone Scientific stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Milestone Scientific's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Milestone Scientific stock will not fluctuate a lot when Milestone Scientific's options are near their expiration.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Milestone Scientific on the next trading day is expected to be 0.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.25. Milestone Scientific after-hype prediction price | USD 0.29 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Milestone contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Milestone Scientific will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Milestone Scientific trading at USD 0.30050001, that is roughly USD 0.0 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Milestone Scientific's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Milestone Scientific options at the current volatility level of 0.0%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Milestone Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Milestone Scientific's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Milestone Scientific's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Milestone Scientific stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Milestone Scientific's open interest, investors have to compare it to Milestone Scientific's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Milestone Scientific is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Milestone. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Milestone Scientific Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Milestone price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Milestone using various technical indicators. When you analyze Milestone charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Milestone Scientific Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Milestone Scientific on the next trading day is expected to be 0.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0006, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.25.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Milestone Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Milestone Scientific's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Milestone Scientific Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Milestone Scientific | Milestone Scientific Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Milestone Scientific Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Milestone Scientific's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Milestone Scientific's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 4.95, respectively. We have considered Milestone Scientific's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Milestone Scientific stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Milestone Scientific stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.7165 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0205 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0631 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.2505 |
Predictive Modules for Milestone Scientific
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Milestone Scientific. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Milestone Scientific's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Milestone Scientific After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Milestone Scientific at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Milestone Scientific or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Milestone Scientific, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Milestone Scientific Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Milestone Scientific's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Milestone Scientific's historical news coverage. Milestone Scientific's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 4.97, respectively. We have considered Milestone Scientific's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Milestone Scientific is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Milestone Scientific is based on 3 months time horizon.
Milestone Scientific Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Milestone Scientific is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Milestone Scientific backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Milestone Scientific, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.58 | 4.68 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.30 | 0.29 | 3.33 |
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Milestone Scientific Hype Timeline
Milestone Scientific is now traded for 0.30. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Milestone is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.29. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -3.33%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.58%. The volatility of related hype on Milestone Scientific is about 29250.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.29. About 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.09. Milestone Scientific had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:3 split on the 14th of January 2004. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Milestone Scientific to cross-verify your projections.Milestone Scientific Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Milestone Scientific's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Milestone Scientific's future price movements. Getting to know how Milestone Scientific's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Milestone Scientific may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| POCI | Precision Optics | 0.19 | 9 per month | 2.17 | 0.07 | 3.68 | (3.19) | 27.89 | |
| IGC | India Globalization Capital | (0.02) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 6.90 | (6.06) | 25.10 | |
| NXGL | Nexgel Inc | (0.04) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 12.42 | (7.78) | 35.89 | |
| MYO | Myomo Inc | (0.03) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 8.79 | (6.67) | 21.89 | |
| RVP | Retractable Technologies | (0.02) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 2.63 | (3.70) | 15.71 | |
| MIRA | MIRA Pharmaceuticals Common | 0.01 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 3.68 | (5.52) | 18.98 | |
| APUS | Apimeds Pharmaceuticals US | (0.28) | 8 per month | 7.57 | 0.07 | 15.05 | (14.12) | 53.45 | |
| NTRB | Nutriband | 0.09 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 9.04 | (7.23) | 32.02 | |
| HBIO | Harvard Bioscience | 0.01 | 8 per month | 4.78 | 0.10 | 12.86 | (6.49) | 57.46 | |
| SABS | SAB Biotherapeutics | (0.07) | 8 per month | 2.94 | 0.12 | 7.97 | (4.05) | 22.52 |
Other Forecasting Options for Milestone Scientific
For every potential investor in Milestone, whether a beginner or expert, Milestone Scientific's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Milestone Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Milestone. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Milestone Scientific's price trends.Milestone Scientific Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Milestone Scientific stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Milestone Scientific could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Milestone Scientific by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Milestone Scientific Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Milestone Scientific stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Milestone Scientific shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Milestone Scientific stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Milestone Scientific entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Milestone Scientific Risk Indicators
The analysis of Milestone Scientific's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Milestone Scientific's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting milestone stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.57 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.9 | |||
| Variance | 23.98 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Milestone Scientific
The number of cover stories for Milestone Scientific depends on current market conditions and Milestone Scientific's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Milestone Scientific is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Milestone Scientific's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Milestone Scientific Short Properties
Milestone Scientific's future price predictability will typically decrease when Milestone Scientific's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Milestone Scientific often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Milestone Scientific's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Milestone Scientific's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 79.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.3 M |
Additional Tools for Milestone Stock Analysis
When running Milestone Scientific's price analysis, check to measure Milestone Scientific's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Milestone Scientific is operating at the current time. Most of Milestone Scientific's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Milestone Scientific's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Milestone Scientific's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Milestone Scientific to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.