3M Stock Forward View - 4 Period Moving Average
| MMM Stock | CHF 132.00 2.78 2.15% |
3M Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of 3M's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.20) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.02 |
Using 3M hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of 3M Company from the perspective of 3M response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of 3M Company on the next trading day is expected to be 130.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 172.91. 3M after-hype prediction price | CHF 132.54 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
3M |
3M Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine 3M price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for 3M using various technical indicators. When you analyze 3M charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
3M 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 16th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of 3M Company on the next trading day is expected to be 130.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.03, mean absolute percentage error of 17.88, and the sum of the absolute errors of 172.91.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict 3M Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that 3M's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
3M Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest 3M | 3M Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
3M Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting 3M's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. 3M's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 128.37 and 132.85, respectively. We have considered 3M's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of 3M stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent 3M stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.6427 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.095 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.0336 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0233 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 172.915 |
Predictive Modules for 3M
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 3M Company. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.3M After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of 3M at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in 3M or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of 3M, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
3M Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting 3M's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on 3M's historical news coverage. 3M's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 130.30 and 134.78, respectively. We have considered 3M's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
3M is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of 3M Company is based on 3 months time horizon.
3M Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as 3M is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading 3M backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with 3M, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 2.24 | 0.54 | 0.09 | 6 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
132.00 | 132.54 | 0.41 |
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3M Hype Timeline
3M Company is now traded for 132.00on SIX Swiss Exchange of Switzerland. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.54, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.09. 3M is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 132.54 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 24.89%. The price increase on the next news is anticipated to be 0.41%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.06%. The volatility of related hype on 3M is about 150.44%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 131.91. The company reported the revenue of 24.95 B. Net Income was 3.25 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.96 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next expected press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of 3M to cross-verify your projections.3M Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to 3M's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict 3M's future price movements. Getting to know how 3M's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how 3M may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MIKN | Mikron Holding AG | 0.1 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.45 | (3.86) | 19.62 | |
| ARBN | Arbonia AG | (0.05) | 4 per month | 2.55 | 0.08 | 4.27 | (4.19) | 13.54 | |
| KOMN | Komax Holding AG | 0.50 | 4 per month | 2.14 | 0.1 | 4.62 | (3.62) | 10.87 | |
| MEDX | medmix AG | 0.12 | 2 per month | 0.86 | 0.22 | 2.93 | (2.04) | 13.55 | |
| MTG | Meier Tobler Group | (0.05) | 4 per month | 1.67 | 0.03 | 3.41 | (2.20) | 9.93 | |
| SWTQ | Schweiter Technologies AG | 1.50 | 1 per month | 2.98 | 0.02 | 4.55 | (4.30) | 16.81 | |
| PMN | PHOENIX N AG | 3.00 | 5 per month | 1.71 | (0) | 3.09 | (3.89) | 8.55 | |
| LECN | Leclanche SA | (0.01) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 7.69 | (12.50) | 26.79 | |
| BVZN | BVZ Holding AG | (20.00) | 5 per month | 1.56 | 0.14 | 4.67 | (2.78) | 14.90 | |
| OFN | Orell Fuessli Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.51 | 0.08 | 1.77 | (1.22) | 4.29 |
Other Forecasting Options for 3M
For every potential investor in 3M, whether a beginner or expert, 3M's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. 3M Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in 3M. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying 3M's price trends.3M Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with 3M stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of 3M could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing 3M by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
3M Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how 3M stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading 3M shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying 3M stock market strength indicators, traders can identify 3M Company entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
3M Risk Indicators
The analysis of 3M's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in 3M's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting 3m stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9531 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.87 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.14 | |||
| Variance | 4.56 | |||
| Downside Variance | 18.2 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.51 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.30) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for 3M
The number of cover stories for 3M depends on current market conditions and 3M's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that 3M is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about 3M's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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3M Short Properties
3M's future price predictability will typically decrease when 3M's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of 3M Company often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential 3M's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. 3M's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 541.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.9 B |
Additional Tools for 3M Stock Analysis
When running 3M's price analysis, check to measure 3M's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy 3M is operating at the current time. Most of 3M's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of 3M's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move 3M's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of 3M to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.