MFS Multimarket Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| MMT Stock | USD 4.70 0.02 0.43% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of MFS Multimarket Income on the next trading day is expected to be 4.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.03. MFS Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of MFS Multimarket's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.076 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
Using MFS Multimarket hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MFS Multimarket Income from the perspective of MFS Multimarket response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of MFS Multimarket Income on the next trading day is expected to be 4.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.03. MFS Multimarket after-hype prediction price | USD 4.7 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MFS Multimarket to cross-verify your projections. MFS Multimarket Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine MFS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MFS using various technical indicators. When you analyze MFS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the MFS Multimarket's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2006-10-31 | Previous Quarter 11.8 K | Current Value 595 | Quarterly Volatility 558.2 K |
MFS Multimarket Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of MFS Multimarket Income on the next trading day is expected to be 4.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0005, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.03.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MFS Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that MFS Multimarket's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
MFS Multimarket Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest MFS Multimarket | MFS Multimarket Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
MFS Multimarket Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting MFS Multimarket's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. MFS Multimarket's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.25 and 5.19, respectively. We have considered MFS Multimarket's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MFS Multimarket stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MFS Multimarket stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.4767 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0168 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0036 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.0253 |
Predictive Modules for MFS Multimarket
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MFS Multimarket Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MFS Multimarket After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of MFS Multimarket at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MFS Multimarket or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of MFS Multimarket, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
MFS Multimarket Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting MFS Multimarket's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MFS Multimarket's historical news coverage. MFS Multimarket's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.23 and 5.17, respectively. We have considered MFS Multimarket's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
MFS Multimarket is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MFS Multimarket Income is based on 3 months time horizon.
MFS Multimarket Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as MFS Multimarket is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MFS Multimarket backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MFS Multimarket, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.70 | 4.70 | 0.00 |
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MFS Multimarket Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of January MFS Multimarket Income is traded for 4.70. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. MFS is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on MFS Multimarket is about 2611.11%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.70. About 25.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.92. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. MFS Multimarket Income last dividend was issued on the 20th of January 2026. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MFS Multimarket to cross-verify your projections.MFS Multimarket Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to MFS Multimarket's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MFS Multimarket's future price movements. Getting to know how MFS Multimarket's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MFS Multimarket may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MCR | MFS Charter Income | 0.01 | 5 per month | 0.34 | (0.17) | 0.65 | (0.48) | 1.93 | |
| SCD | Lmp Capital And | (0.09) | 4 per month | 0.71 | (0.02) | 1.25 | (1.30) | 2.93 | |
| BKT | BlackRock Income Closed | (0.12) | 3 per month | 0.32 | (0.20) | 0.65 | (0.64) | 1.66 | |
| FTF | Franklin Templeton Limited | 0.03 | 5 per month | 0.35 | (0.14) | 0.65 | (0.67) | 1.67 | |
| FCT | First Trust Senior | 0.01 | 4 per month | 0.25 | 0.0005 | 0.85 | (0.74) | 6.13 | |
| HYI | Western Asset High | 0.02 | 1 per month | 0.32 | (0.27) | 0.63 | (0.64) | 1.61 | |
| MIN | MFS Intermediate Income | (0.01) | 10 per month | 0.43 | (0.16) | 0.78 | (0.77) | 3.08 | |
| SABA | Saba Capital Income | (0.09) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 0.85 | (1.05) | 3.55 | |
| PMM | Putnam Managed Municipal | 0.05 | 7 per month | 0.41 | (0.08) | 1.12 | (0.96) | 3.87 | |
| NCZ | Allianzgi Convertible Income | 0.01 | 3 per month | 0.83 | 0 | 1.65 | (1.49) | 4.66 |
Other Forecasting Options for MFS Multimarket
For every potential investor in MFS, whether a beginner or expert, MFS Multimarket's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MFS Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MFS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying MFS Multimarket's price trends.MFS Multimarket Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with MFS Multimarket stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of MFS Multimarket could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MFS Multimarket by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
MFS Multimarket Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MFS Multimarket stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MFS Multimarket shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MFS Multimarket stock market strength indicators, traders can identify MFS Multimarket Income entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
MFS Multimarket Risk Indicators
The analysis of MFS Multimarket's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MFS Multimarket's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mfs stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.3483 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.3604 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.4535 | |||
| Variance | 0.2057 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.252 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.1299 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.43) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for MFS Multimarket
The number of cover stories for MFS Multimarket depends on current market conditions and MFS Multimarket's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MFS Multimarket is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MFS Multimarket's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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MFS Multimarket Short Properties
MFS Multimarket's future price predictability will typically decrease when MFS Multimarket's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of MFS Multimarket Income often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential MFS Multimarket's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MFS Multimarket's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 54.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.5 M |
Additional Tools for MFS Stock Analysis
When running MFS Multimarket's price analysis, check to measure MFS Multimarket's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MFS Multimarket is operating at the current time. Most of MFS Multimarket's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MFS Multimarket's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MFS Multimarket's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MFS Multimarket to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.