Monument Mining Pink Sheet Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing

MMTMF Stock  USD 0.94  0.12  11.32%   
Monument Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Monument Mining's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 1st of February 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Monument Mining's share price is at 55. This indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Monument Mining, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 55

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Monument Mining's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Monument Mining and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Monument Mining's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Monument Mining Limited, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Monument Mining hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Monument Mining Limited from the perspective of Monument Mining response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Monument Mining Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.71.

Monument Mining after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.94  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Monument Mining to cross-verify your projections.

Monument Mining Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Monument price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Monument using various technical indicators. When you analyze Monument charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Monument Mining works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Monument Mining Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Monument Mining Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.71.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Monument Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Monument Mining's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Monument Mining Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Monument Mining Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Monument Mining's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Monument Mining's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 5.51, respectively. We have considered Monument Mining's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.94
0.95
Expected Value
5.51
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Monument Mining pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Monument Mining pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0049
MADMean absolute deviation0.029
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0345
SAESum of the absolute errors1.71
When Monument Mining Limited prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Monument Mining Limited trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Monument Mining observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Monument Mining

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Monument Mining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.050.945.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.050.905.46
Details

Monument Mining After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Monument Mining at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Monument Mining or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Monument Mining, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Monument Mining Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Monument Mining's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Monument Mining's historical news coverage. Monument Mining's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.05 and 5.50, respectively. We have considered Monument Mining's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.94
0.94
After-hype Price
5.50
Upside
Monument Mining is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Monument Mining is based on 3 months time horizon.

Monument Mining Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Monument Mining is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Monument Mining backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Monument Mining, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.67 
4.56
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.94
0.94
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Monument Mining Hype Timeline

Monument Mining is now traded for 0.94. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Monument is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.67%. %. The volatility of related hype on Monument Mining is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.94. About 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.12. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Monument Mining recorded a loss per share of 0.03. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expected press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Monument Mining to cross-verify your projections.

Monument Mining Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Monument Mining's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Monument Mining's future price movements. Getting to know how Monument Mining's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Monument Mining may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CNMVFCanoe Mining Ventures 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
SRBIFSerabi Gold PLC 0.00 0 per month 3.82  0.13  10.00 (6.32) 25.82 
WRLGFWest Red Lake 0.00 0 per month 2.44  0.15  6.78 (4.35) 14.79 
ATLDFAtlanta Gold 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
NSUPFNorthern Superior Resources 0.00 0 per month 3.11  0.13  8.41 (6.11) 64.43 
LGDTFLiberty Gold Corp 0.00 0 per month 2.62  0.20  9.09 (4.48) 17.88 
BYAGFBanyan Gold Corp 0.00 0 per month 3.97  0.18  10.17 (6.74) 21.52 
GGAZFGoldgroup Mining 0.00 0 per month 4.58  0.13  12.73 (7.35) 28.86 
AMXEFAmex Exploration 0.00 0 per month 2.68  0.25  6.02 (5.93) 18.99 
TGMGFTheta Gold Mines 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.14  0.00  0.00  91.18 

Other Forecasting Options for Monument Mining

For every potential investor in Monument, whether a beginner or expert, Monument Mining's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Monument Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Monument. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Monument Mining's price trends.

Monument Mining Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Monument Mining pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Monument Mining could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Monument Mining by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Monument Mining Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Monument Mining pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Monument Mining shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Monument Mining pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Monument Mining Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Monument Mining Risk Indicators

The analysis of Monument Mining's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Monument Mining's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting monument pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Monument Mining

The number of cover stories for Monument Mining depends on current market conditions and Monument Mining's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Monument Mining is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Monument Mining's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Monument Pink Sheet

Monument Mining financial ratios help investors to determine whether Monument Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Monument with respect to the benefits of owning Monument Mining security.