Pro Blend Mutual Fund Forward View - Simple Regression

MNBIX Fund  USD 19.51  0.17  0.86%   
Pro Mutual Fund outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Pro Blend's mutual fund price is slightly above 63. This indicates that the mutual fund is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Pro, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 63

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Pro Blend's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Pro Blend Extended Term, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Pro Blend hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pro Blend Extended Term from the perspective of Pro Blend response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Pro Blend Extended Term on the next trading day is expected to be 20.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.20.

Pro Blend after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 27.92  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pro Blend to cross-verify your projections.

Pro Blend Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Pro price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pro using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pro charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Pro Blend price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Pro Blend Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 1st of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Pro Blend Extended Term on the next trading day is expected to be 20.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37, mean absolute percentage error of 0.18, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.20.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pro Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pro Blend's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Pro Blend Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Pro Blend  Pro Blend Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Pro Blend Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Pro Blend's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pro Blend's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.93 and 21.43, respectively. We have considered Pro Blend's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
19.51
20.18
Expected Value
21.43
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pro Blend mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pro Blend mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.23
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3742
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0205
SAESum of the absolute errors23.2031
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Pro Blend Extended Term historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Pro Blend

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pro Blend Extended. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.5627.9229.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.0220.2721.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
19.2019.5419.87
Details

Pro Blend After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Pro Blend at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Pro Blend or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Pro Blend, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Pro Blend Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Pro Blend's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Pro Blend's historical news coverage. Pro Blend's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.56 and 29.17, respectively. We have considered Pro Blend's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
19.51
27.92
After-hype Price
29.17
Upside
Pro Blend is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Pro Blend Extended is based on 3 months time horizon.

Pro Blend Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Pro Blend is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pro Blend backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Pro Blend, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.21 
1.25
  8.53 
  0.17 
2 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
19.51
27.89
42.93 
3.08  
Notes

Pro Blend Hype Timeline

Pro Blend Extended is now traded for 19.51. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 8.53, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.17. Pro is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 27.886000000000003 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 3.08%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 42.93%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.21%. The volatility of related hype on Pro Blend is about 158.23%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.34. Debt can assist Pro Blend until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Pro Blend's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Pro Blend Extended sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Pro to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Pro Blend's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pro Blend to cross-verify your projections.

Pro Blend Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Pro Blend's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Pro Blend's future price movements. Getting to know how Pro Blend's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Pro Blend may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Pro Blend

For every potential investor in Pro, whether a beginner or expert, Pro Blend's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pro Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pro. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pro Blend's price trends.

Pro Blend Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pro Blend mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pro Blend could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pro Blend by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Pro Blend Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pro Blend mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pro Blend shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pro Blend mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Pro Blend Extended Term entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Pro Blend Risk Indicators

The analysis of Pro Blend's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pro Blend's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pro mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Pro Blend

The number of cover stories for Pro Blend depends on current market conditions and Pro Blend's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Pro Blend is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Pro Blend's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Pro Mutual Fund

Pro Blend financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pro Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pro with respect to the benefits of owning Pro Blend security.
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