MNB Holdings OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

MNBO Stock  USD 48.04  0.00  0.00%   
MNB OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, the value of RSI of MNB Holdings' share price is approaching 41. This indicates that the otc stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling MNB Holdings, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 41

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
MNB Holdings Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of MNB Holdings shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of MNB Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of MNB Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from MNB Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with MNB Holdings Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of MNB Holdings based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using MNB Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MNB Holdings Corp from the perspective of MNB Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of MNB Holdings Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 48.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 64.32.

MNB Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 48.04  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MNB Holdings to cross-verify your projections.

MNB Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine MNB price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MNB using various technical indicators. When you analyze MNB charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
MNB Holdings simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for MNB Holdings Corp are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as MNB Holdings Corp prices get older.

MNB Holdings Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of MNB Holdings Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 48.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.07, mean absolute percentage error of 8.54, and the sum of the absolute errors of 64.32.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MNB OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that MNB Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

MNB Holdings OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest MNB Holdings  MNB Holdings Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

MNB Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting MNB Holdings' OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. MNB Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 42.19 and 53.93, respectively. We have considered MNB Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
48.04
48.06
Expected Value
53.93
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MNB Holdings otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MNB Holdings otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.4177
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1171
MADMean absolute deviation1.0721
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0194
SAESum of the absolute errors64.3234
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting MNB Holdings Corp forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent MNB Holdings observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for MNB Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MNB Holdings Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
42.2248.0453.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
46.1051.9257.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
45.5649.3353.11
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as MNB Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against MNB Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, MNB Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in MNB Holdings Corp.

MNB Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of MNB Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MNB Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of MNB Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

MNB Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting MNB Holdings' otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MNB Holdings' historical news coverage. MNB Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 42.22 and 53.86, respectively. We have considered MNB Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
48.04
48.04
After-hype Price
53.86
Upside
MNB Holdings is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MNB Holdings Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

MNB Holdings OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as MNB Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MNB Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MNB Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.08 
5.87
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
48.04
48.04
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

MNB Holdings Hype Timeline

MNB Holdings Corp is now traded for 48.04. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. MNB is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on MNB Holdings is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 48.04. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.53. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. MNB Holdings Corp had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MNB Holdings to cross-verify your projections.

MNB Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to MNB Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MNB Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how MNB Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MNB Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
UNIFU I Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13) 1.27 (1.27) 5.60 
CNAFCommercial National Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.08) 1.89 (2.29) 5.73 
FRFCFirst Robinson Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.49  0.19  3.15 (0.64) 9.68 
APLOApollo Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.1  1.79 (0.92) 14.55 
LKSBLakeside Bancshares 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.03) 5.42 (4.00) 28.20 
QNTOQuaint Oak Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 1.22  0.08  2.97 (3.30) 12.43 
PFSBPennfed Financial Services 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.27  1.73 (0.52) 7.87 
EFSGEnterprise Financial Services 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.09  0.29  0.00  24.02 
VWFBVWF Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.75  0.03  1.98 (1.85) 6.50 
SSBPSSB Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 1.40  0.06  3.39 (0.99) 13.35 

Other Forecasting Options for MNB Holdings

For every potential investor in MNB, whether a beginner or expert, MNB Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MNB OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MNB. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying MNB Holdings' price trends.

MNB Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with MNB Holdings otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of MNB Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MNB Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

MNB Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MNB Holdings otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MNB Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MNB Holdings otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify MNB Holdings Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

MNB Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of MNB Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MNB Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mnb otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for MNB Holdings

The number of cover stories for MNB Holdings depends on current market conditions and MNB Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MNB Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MNB Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in MNB OTC Stock

MNB Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether MNB OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MNB with respect to the benefits of owning MNB Holdings security.