Merchants Marine OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| MNMB Stock | USD 39.30 0.01 0.03% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Merchants Marine Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 39.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.53. Merchants OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Merchants Marine stock prices and determine the direction of Merchants Marine Bancorp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Merchants Marine's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The value of RSI of Merchants Marine's share price is at 50. This indicates that the otc stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Merchants Marine, making its price go up or down. Momentum 50
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Merchants Marine based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Merchants Marine hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Merchants Marine Bancorp from the perspective of Merchants Marine response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Merchants Marine Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 39.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.53. Merchants Marine after-hype prediction price | USD 39.3 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Merchants |
Merchants Marine Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Merchants price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Merchants using various technical indicators. When you analyze Merchants charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Merchants Marine Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Merchants Marine Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 39.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33, mean absolute percentage error of 0.45, and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.53.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Merchants OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Merchants Marine's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Merchants Marine OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Merchants Marine | Merchants Marine Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Merchants Marine Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Merchants Marine's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Merchants Marine's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 37.66 and 40.94, respectively. We have considered Merchants Marine's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Merchants Marine otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Merchants Marine otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.4792 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0236 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3255 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0084 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 19.5272 |
Predictive Modules for Merchants Marine
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Merchants Marine Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Merchants Marine After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Merchants Marine at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Merchants Marine or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Merchants Marine, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Merchants Marine Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Merchants Marine's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Merchants Marine's historical news coverage. Merchants Marine's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 37.65 and 40.95, respectively. We have considered Merchants Marine's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Merchants Marine is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Merchants Marine Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Merchants Marine OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Merchants Marine is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Merchants Marine backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Merchants Marine, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 1.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
39.30 | 39.30 | 0.00 |
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Merchants Marine Hype Timeline
Merchants Marine Bancorp is now traded for 39.30. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Merchants is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Merchants Marine is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 39.30. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.74. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Merchants Marine Bancorp last dividend was issued on the 8th of December 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Merchants Marine to cross-verify your projections.Merchants Marine Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Merchants Marine's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Merchants Marine's future price movements. Getting to know how Merchants Marine's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Merchants Marine may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FRSB | First Resource Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 2.51 | (0.54) | 5.49 | |
| SVBT | SVB T Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.15 | 2.42 | (0.42) | 6.00 | |
| GSBX | Golden State Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.61 | (0.48) | 7.08 | |
| RWCB | Redwood Capital Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.32 | 0.02 | 1.04 | (0.48) | 6.46 | |
| PGNN | Paragon Financial Solutions | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.82 | (0.08) | 2.60 | |
| BSPA | Ballston Spa Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 0.46 | (0.46) | 14.71 | |
| CCBC | Chino Commercial Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 2.15 | (1.21) | 6.87 | |
| MVLY | Mission Valley Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.03 | 2.87 | (0.33) | 17.19 | |
| KEFI | Keweenaw Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FBVI | FCN Banc Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.69 | (0.04) | 1.47 | (1.29) | 6.89 |
Other Forecasting Options for Merchants Marine
For every potential investor in Merchants, whether a beginner or expert, Merchants Marine's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Merchants OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Merchants. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Merchants Marine's price trends.Merchants Marine Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Merchants Marine otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Merchants Marine could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Merchants Marine by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Merchants Marine Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Merchants Marine otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Merchants Marine shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Merchants Marine otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Merchants Marine Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 39.3 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 39.3 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 50.65 |
Merchants Marine Risk Indicators
The analysis of Merchants Marine's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Merchants Marine's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting merchants otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8294 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.65 | |||
| Variance | 2.73 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Merchants Marine
The number of cover stories for Merchants Marine depends on current market conditions and Merchants Marine's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Merchants Marine is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Merchants Marine's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Merchants OTC Stock
Merchants Marine financial ratios help investors to determine whether Merchants OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Merchants with respect to the benefits of owning Merchants Marine security.