Mansfelder Metals Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

Mansfelder Metals Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Mansfelder price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mansfelder using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mansfelder charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for Mansfelder Metals is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Mansfelder Metals value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Mansfelder Metals Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Mansfelder Metals on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0002 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000542, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0003.

Mansfelder Metals Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Mansfelder Metals Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mansfelder Metals pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mansfelder Metals pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Mansfelder Metals. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Mansfelder Metals. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Mansfelder Metals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mansfelder Metals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 0.00 0.0001 12.60 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 0.00 0.0001 12.60 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002 Details

Mansfelder Metals After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Mansfelder Metals Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Mansfelder Metals Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Mansfelder Metals Hype Timeline

Mansfelder Metals is now traded for 0.0002. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 1.01. Mansfelder is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.23E-4. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -38.61%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 1.59%. The volatility of related hype on Mansfelder Metals is about 1987.38%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.01. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.1. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Mansfelder Metals recorded a loss per share of 0.09. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:5 split on the 22nd of April 1997. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mansfelder Metals to cross-verify your projections.

Mansfelder Metals Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Mansfelder Metals

For every potential investor in Mansfelder, whether a beginner or expert, Mansfelder Metals' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mansfelder Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mansfelder. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mansfelder Metals' price trends.

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