Monster Beverage Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| MNST Stock | USD 81.30 0.14 0.17% |
Monster Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Monster Beverage's stock price is slightly above 68. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Monster, making its price go up or down. Momentum 68
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.395 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.4575 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.9744 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.2569 | Wall Street Target Price 79.62 |
Using Monster Beverage hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Monster Beverage Corp from the perspective of Monster Beverage response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Monster Beverage using Monster Beverage's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Monster using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Monster Beverage's stock price.
Monster Beverage Short Interest
An investor who is long Monster Beverage may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Monster Beverage and may potentially protect profits, hedge Monster Beverage with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 66.2506 | Short Percent 0.0288 | Short Ratio 3.97 | Shares Short Prior Month 18.9 M | 50 Day MA 75.5002 |
Monster Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Monster Beverage Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 81.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 72.20.Monster Beverage Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Monster Beverage's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Monster. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Monster can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Monster Beverage Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Monster Beverage's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Monster Beverage.
Monster Beverage Implied Volatility | 0.68 |
Monster Beverage's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Monster Beverage Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Monster Beverage's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Monster Beverage stock will not fluctuate a lot when Monster Beverage's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Monster Beverage Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 81.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 72.20. Monster Beverage after-hype prediction price | USD 81.53 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Monster Beverage to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Monster contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Monster Beverage Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0425% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Monster Beverage trading at USD 81.3, that is roughly USD 0.0346 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Monster Beverage's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Monster Beverage Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.68%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Monster Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Monster Beverage's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Monster Beverage's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Monster Beverage stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Monster Beverage's open interest, investors have to compare it to Monster Beverage's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Monster Beverage is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Monster. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Monster Beverage Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Monster price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Monster using various technical indicators. When you analyze Monster charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Monster Beverage Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Monster Beverage Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 81.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.18, mean absolute percentage error of 2.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 72.20.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Monster Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Monster Beverage's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Monster Beverage Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Monster Beverage | Monster Beverage Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Monster Beverage Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Monster Beverage's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Monster Beverage's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 79.77 and 82.40, respectively. We have considered Monster Beverage's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Monster Beverage stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Monster Beverage stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.8185 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.1836 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.016 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 72.1966 |
Predictive Modules for Monster Beverage
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Monster Beverage Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Monster Beverage's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Monster Beverage After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Monster Beverage at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Monster Beverage or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Monster Beverage, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Monster Beverage Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Monster Beverage's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Monster Beverage's historical news coverage. Monster Beverage's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 80.21 and 82.85, respectively. We have considered Monster Beverage's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Monster Beverage is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Monster Beverage Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Monster Beverage Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Monster Beverage is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Monster Beverage backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Monster Beverage, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.34 | 1.32 | 0.23 | 0.07 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
81.30 | 81.53 | 0.28 |
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Monster Beverage Hype Timeline
Monster Beverage Corp is now traded for 81.30. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.23, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. Monster is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 81.53 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 191.3%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.28%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.34%. The volatility of related hype on Monster Beverage is about 631.58%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 81.37. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 7.49 B. Net Income was 1.51 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.45 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Monster Beverage to cross-verify your projections.Monster Beverage Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Monster Beverage's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Monster Beverage's future price movements. Getting to know how Monster Beverage's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Monster Beverage may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CL | Colgate Palmolive | 0.46 | 9 per month | 1.22 | 0.04 | 1.93 | (2.16) | 5.16 | |
| CCEP | Coca Cola European Partners | 0.64 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.95 | (2.11) | 5.66 | |
| MDLZ | Mondelez International | 1.50 | 37 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.04 | (2.27) | 5.92 | |
| KDP | Keurig Dr Pepper | (0.09) | 12 per month | 1.57 | (0.03) | 1.97 | (1.91) | 13.48 | |
| DEO | Diageo PLC ADR | (0.86) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.82 | (2.79) | 8.56 | |
| ABEV | Ambev SA ADR | 0.32 | 37 per month | 0.95 | 0.23 | 3.04 | (1.71) | 10.33 | |
| KOF | Coca Cola Femsa SAB | (0.16) | 9 per month | 0.79 | 0.22 | 2.92 | (1.50) | 5.77 | |
| COKE | Coca Cola Consolidated | 0.42 | 10 per month | 1.24 | 0.07 | 3.53 | (2.36) | 9.33 | |
| KR | Kroger Company | 0.54 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.55 | (2.68) | 7.52 | |
| TGT | Target | (0.68) | 7 per month | 1.74 | 0.05 | 3.13 | (3.03) | 8.22 |
Other Forecasting Options for Monster Beverage
For every potential investor in Monster, whether a beginner or expert, Monster Beverage's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Monster Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Monster. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Monster Beverage's price trends.Monster Beverage Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Monster Beverage stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Monster Beverage could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Monster Beverage by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Monster Beverage Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Monster Beverage stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Monster Beverage shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Monster Beverage stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Monster Beverage Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Monster Beverage Risk Indicators
The analysis of Monster Beverage's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Monster Beverage's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting monster stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9612 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9921 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.38 | |||
| Variance | 1.91 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.64 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.9842 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.05) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Monster Beverage
The number of cover stories for Monster Beverage depends on current market conditions and Monster Beverage's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Monster Beverage is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Monster Beverage's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Monster Beverage Short Properties
Monster Beverage's future price predictability will typically decrease when Monster Beverage's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Monster Beverage Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Monster Beverage's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Monster Beverage's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.5 B |
Additional Tools for Monster Stock Analysis
When running Monster Beverage's price analysis, check to measure Monster Beverage's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Monster Beverage is operating at the current time. Most of Monster Beverage's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Monster Beverage's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Monster Beverage's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Monster Beverage to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.