Modern Technology Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Modern Technology Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Modern Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Modern Technology stock prices and determine the direction of Modern Technology Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Modern Technology's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the value of rsi of Modern Technology's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Modern Technology's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Modern Technology Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Modern Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Modern Technology Corp from the perspective of Modern Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Modern Technology Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.

Modern Technology after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Modern Technology to cross-verify your projections.

Modern Technology Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Modern price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Modern using various technical indicators. When you analyze Modern charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Modern Technology works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Modern Technology Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Modern Technology Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Modern Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Modern Technology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Modern Technology Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Modern TechnologyModern Technology Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Modern Technology Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Modern Technology's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Modern Technology's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Modern Technology's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
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0.00
Expected Value
0.00
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Modern Technology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Modern Technology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
When Modern Technology Corp prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Modern Technology Corp trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Modern Technology observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Modern Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Modern Technology Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Modern Technology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Modern Technology Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Modern Technology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Modern Technology backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Modern Technology, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
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0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
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Notes

Modern Technology Hype Timeline

Modern Technology Corp is now traded for 0.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Modern is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Modern Technology is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Modern Technology Corp had 1:20 split on the 15th of May 2006. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Modern Technology to cross-verify your projections.

Modern Technology Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Modern Technology's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Modern Technology's future price movements. Getting to know how Modern Technology's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Modern Technology may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CDXICardax Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
NBRVFNabriva Therapeutics Plc 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ELOXEloxx Pharmaceuticals 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
HRALHear Atlast Holdings 0.00 0 per month 6.29  0.04  25.00 (20.00) 45.00 
ONCSQOncoSec Medical Incorporated 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
NEXINeximmune 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
MTSTMetaStat 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
LGBICannabiz Mobile 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
VRCIVerde Science 0.00 2 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
SIGOSunset Island Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Modern Technology

For every potential investor in Modern, whether a beginner or expert, Modern Technology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Modern Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Modern. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Modern Technology's price trends.

Modern Technology Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Modern Technology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Modern Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Modern Technology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Story Coverage note for Modern Technology

The number of cover stories for Modern Technology depends on current market conditions and Modern Technology's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Modern Technology is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Modern Technology's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
When determining whether Modern Technology Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Modern Technology's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Modern Technology Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Modern Technology Corp Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Modern Technology to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Modern Technology. If investors know Modern will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Modern Technology listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Modern Technology Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Modern that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Modern Technology's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Modern Technology's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Modern Technology's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Modern Technology's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Modern Technology's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Modern Technology is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Modern Technology's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.