Mogo Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

MOGODelisted Stock  USD 1.01  0.10  9.01%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Mogo Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.41. Mogo Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
The value of RSI of Mogo's share price is below 30 as of today. This indicates that the stock is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Mogo Inc, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 28

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Mogo's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Mogo Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Mogo hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mogo Inc from the perspective of Mogo response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Mogo Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.41.

Mogo after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.95  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.

Mogo Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Mogo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mogo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mogo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Mogo price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Mogo Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 20th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Mogo Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.41.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mogo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mogo's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Mogo Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest MogoMogo Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mogo stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mogo stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.3098
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0724
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0556
SAESum of the absolute errors4.4145
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Mogo Inc historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Mogo

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mogo Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.050.954.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.050.964.21
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mogo. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mogo's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mogo's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mogo Inc.

Mogo Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mogo stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mogo could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mogo by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Mogo Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mogo stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mogo shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mogo stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Mogo Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Mogo Risk Indicators

The analysis of Mogo's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mogo's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mogo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Mogo

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Mogo position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Mogo will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Mogo Stock

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  0.84MFA MFA FinancialPairCorr
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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Mogo could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Mogo when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Mogo - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Mogo Inc to buy it.
The correlation of Mogo is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Mogo moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Mogo Inc moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Mogo can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.

Other Consideration for investing in Mogo Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Mogo Inc check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Mogo's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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