Mogo Inc Price Patterns
| MOGODelisted Stock | USD 1.04 0.00 0.00% |
Momentum 33
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Mogo hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mogo Inc from the perspective of Mogo response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Mogo to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Mogo because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Mogo after-hype prediction price | USD 1.01 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Mogo |
Mogo After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Mogo at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mogo or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Mogo, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Mogo Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Mogo's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mogo's historical news coverage. Mogo's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.05 and 4.37, respectively. We have considered Mogo's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Mogo is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mogo Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Mogo Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Mogo is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mogo backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mogo, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.42 | 3.36 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.04 | 1.01 | 2.88 |
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Mogo Hype Timeline
Mogo Inc is now traded for 1.04. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Mogo is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.01. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -2.88%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.42%. The volatility of related hype on Mogo is about 28000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.03. About 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.45. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Mogo Inc had 1:3 split on the 14th of August 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.Mogo Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Mogo's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mogo's future price movements. Getting to know how Mogo's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mogo may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| INTZ | Intrusion | (0.04) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 9.22 | (8.84) | 23.78 | |
| CISO | Cerberus Cyber Sentinel | 0.00 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 11.43 | (9.09) | 27.28 | |
| PGY | Pagaya Technologies | 0.12 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 8.51 | (8.21) | 36.68 | |
| USIO | Usio Inc | 0.01 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.17 | (2.94) | 9.89 | |
| AUID | authID Inc | 0.03 | 2 per month | 8.58 | (0) | 13.22 | (13.43) | 84.42 | |
| BOSC | BOS Better Online | (0.1) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.77 | (4.72) | 15.46 | |
| VRAR | Glimpse Group | 0.05 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 7.84 | (8.55) | 22.42 | |
| VBIX | Viewbix Common Stock | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.43 | (0.01) | 7.69 | (7.00) | 40.59 | |
| LPSN | LivePerson | (0.04) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 5.56 | (6.85) | 25.36 | |
| BLIV | BeLive Holdings Ordinary | (0.15) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 6.45 | (8.10) | 25.76 |
Mogo Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Mogo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mogo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mogo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Mogo Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Mogo stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Mogo Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Mogo based on analysis of Mogo hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Mogo's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Mogo's related companies.
Pair Trading with Mogo
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Mogo position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Mogo will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Mogo Stock
Moving against Mogo Stock
| 0.91 | MZDAF | Mazda Motor | PairCorr |
| 0.89 | SNPHF | Santen Pharmaceutical | PairCorr |
| 0.88 | MRK | Merck Company Sell-off Trend | PairCorr |
| 0.87 | BKKPF | Bangkok Bank Public | PairCorr |
| 0.83 | WMT | Walmart Common Stock Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.8 | JNJ | Johnson Johnson | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Mogo could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Mogo when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Mogo - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Mogo Inc to buy it.
The correlation of Mogo is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Mogo moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Mogo Inc moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Mogo can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Other Consideration for investing in Mogo Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Mogo Inc check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Mogo's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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