Medacta Group Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| MOVE Stock | 147.80 0.80 0.54% |
Medacta Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Medacta Group's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.584 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.5062 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.3109 | Wall Street Target Price 177.685 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.192 |
Using Medacta Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Medacta Group SA from the perspective of Medacta Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Medacta Group SA on the next trading day is expected to be 138.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.43 and the sum of the absolute errors of 212.51. Medacta Group after-hype prediction price | CHF 147.82 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Medacta |
Medacta Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Medacta price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Medacta using various technical indicators. When you analyze Medacta charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Medacta Group Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 18th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Medacta Group SA on the next trading day is expected to be 138.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.43, mean absolute percentage error of 16.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 212.51.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Medacta Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Medacta Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Medacta Group Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Medacta Group | Medacta Group Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Medacta Group Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Medacta Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Medacta Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 136.86 and 140.17, respectively. We have considered Medacta Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Medacta Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Medacta Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.7235 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.4276 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0217 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 212.5092 |
Predictive Modules for Medacta Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Medacta Group SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Medacta Group After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Medacta Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Medacta Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Medacta Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Medacta Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Medacta Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Medacta Group's historical news coverage. Medacta Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 146.17 and 149.47, respectively. We have considered Medacta Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Medacta Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Medacta Group SA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Medacta Group Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Medacta Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Medacta Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Medacta Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 1.65 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 4 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
147.80 | 147.82 | 0.01 |
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Medacta Group Hype Timeline
Medacta Group SA is now traded for 147.80on SIX Swiss Exchange of Switzerland. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Medacta is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 147.82 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 103.13%. The price increase on the next news is anticipated to be 0.01%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.02%. The volatility of related hype on Medacta Group is about 184.36%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 147.78. The company reported the revenue of 590.58 M. Net Income was 72.89 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 436.82 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Medacta Group to cross-verify your projections.Medacta Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Medacta Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Medacta Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Medacta Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Medacta Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SFZN | Siegfried Holding | (0.50) | 5 per month | 1.42 | 0.10 | 3.13 | (2.39) | 16.64 | |
| TECN | Tecan Group AG | (1.70) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.05 | (3.61) | 12.91 | |
| BION | BB Biotech AG | 0.25 | 1 per month | 1.56 | 0.07 | 2.73 | (2.08) | 9.03 | |
| GALE | Galenica Sante AG | 0.05 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.26 | 1.56 | (0.98) | 3.14 | |
| YPSN | Ypsomed Holding AG | (3.00) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.35 | (3.13) | 8.61 | |
| MED | Medartis Holding AG | 0.90 | 3 per month | 1.81 | 0.1 | 3.98 | (3.71) | 9.13 | |
| SKAN | SKAN Group AG | (4.45) | 4 per month | 1.98 | 0.02 | 3.66 | (3.51) | 9.24 | |
| COPN | COSMO Pharmaceuticals SA | 0.50 | 4 per month | 1.65 | 0.23 | 6.48 | (2.87) | 26.07 | |
| CLTN | Coltene Holding AG | 0.10 | 3 per month | 1.82 | 0.13 | 3.78 | (2.64) | 11.91 | |
| AEVS | Aevis Victoria SA | (1.10) | 7 per month | 2.08 | 0.01 | 2.29 | (2.24) | 13.83 |
Other Forecasting Options for Medacta Group
For every potential investor in Medacta, whether a beginner or expert, Medacta Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Medacta Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Medacta. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Medacta Group's price trends.Medacta Group Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Medacta Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Medacta Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Medacta Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Medacta Group Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Medacta Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Medacta Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Medacta Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Medacta Group SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 242.98 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.40) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 148.2 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 148.07 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.80) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.80) |
Medacta Group Risk Indicators
The analysis of Medacta Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Medacta Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting medacta stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.19 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.6 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.7 | |||
| Variance | 2.88 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.92 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.56 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.32) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Medacta Group
The number of cover stories for Medacta Group depends on current market conditions and Medacta Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Medacta Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Medacta Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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Medacta Group Short Properties
Medacta Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Medacta Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Medacta Group SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Medacta Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Medacta Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 31.6 M |
Additional Tools for Medacta Stock Analysis
When running Medacta Group's price analysis, check to measure Medacta Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Medacta Group is operating at the current time. Most of Medacta Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Medacta Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Medacta Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Medacta Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.