Empire Diversified Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

MPIR Stock  USD 0.02  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Empire Diversified Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.07. Empire Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Empire Diversified's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Empire Diversified's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Empire Diversified and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Empire Diversified's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Empire Diversified Energy, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Empire Diversified hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Empire Diversified Energy from the perspective of Empire Diversified response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Empire Diversified Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.07.

Empire Diversified after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.02  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Empire Diversified to cross-verify your projections.

Empire Diversified Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Empire price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Empire using various technical indicators. When you analyze Empire charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Empire Diversified simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Empire Diversified Energy are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Empire Diversified Energy prices get older.

Empire Diversified Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Empire Diversified Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000021, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.07.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Empire Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Empire Diversified's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Empire Diversified Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Empire DiversifiedEmpire Diversified Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Empire Diversified Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Empire Diversified's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Empire Diversified's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0002 and 18.87, respectively. We have considered Empire Diversified's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.02
0.0002
Downside
0.02
Expected Value
18.87
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Empire Diversified pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Empire Diversified pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria105.4872
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0012
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.047
SAESum of the absolute errors0.074
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Empire Diversified Energy forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Empire Diversified observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Empire Diversified

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Empire Diversified Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0219.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0219.03
Details

Empire Diversified After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Empire Diversified at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Empire Diversified or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Empire Diversified, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Empire Diversified Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Empire Diversified's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Empire Diversified's historical news coverage. Empire Diversified's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 19.03, respectively. We have considered Empire Diversified's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.02
0.02
After-hype Price
19.03
Upside
Empire Diversified is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Empire Diversified Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.

Empire Diversified Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Empire Diversified is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Empire Diversified backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Empire Diversified, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.87 
18.85
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.02
0.02
11.11 
0.00  
Notes

Empire Diversified Hype Timeline

Empire Diversified Energy is now traded for 0.02. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Empire is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.02 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price gain on the next news is estimated to be 11.11%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.87%. The volatility of related hype on Empire Diversified is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.02. Empire Diversified Energy currently holds 44.44 M in liabilities. Debt can assist Empire Diversified until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Empire Diversified's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Empire Diversified Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Empire to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Empire Diversified's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Empire Diversified to cross-verify your projections.

Empire Diversified Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Empire Diversified's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Empire Diversified's future price movements. Getting to know how Empire Diversified's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Empire Diversified may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CNQQFClean Teq Water 0.00 0 per month 17.28  0.20  20.00 (16.67) 1,096 
SHUNFShunfeng International Clean 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14) 0.00  0.00  44.74 
CETINexGen Holdings Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.08) 33.33 (37.50) 116.30 
CLMOFClimeon AB 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CGFEFCF Energy Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CWGYFCarnegie Clean Energy 0.00 0 per month 12.82  0.05  27.33 (23.78) 79.12 
SUMESummer Energy Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
EVGIFEverGen Infrastructure Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.0007  3.13  0.00  35.90 
DOMWFDominion Water Reserves 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.11  34.83 (17.07) 395.00 
SMAYFSIMEC Atlantis Energy 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.11  23.91  0.00  101.31 

Other Forecasting Options for Empire Diversified

For every potential investor in Empire, whether a beginner or expert, Empire Diversified's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Empire Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Empire. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Empire Diversified's price trends.

Empire Diversified Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Empire Diversified pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Empire Diversified could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Empire Diversified by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Empire Diversified Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Empire Diversified pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Empire Diversified shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Empire Diversified pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Empire Diversified Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Empire Diversified Risk Indicators

The analysis of Empire Diversified's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Empire Diversified's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting empire pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Empire Diversified

The number of cover stories for Empire Diversified depends on current market conditions and Empire Diversified's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Empire Diversified is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Empire Diversified's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Additional Tools for Empire Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Empire Diversified's price analysis, check to measure Empire Diversified's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Empire Diversified is operating at the current time. Most of Empire Diversified's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Empire Diversified's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Empire Diversified's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Empire Diversified to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.