Praxis International Mutual Fund Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

Praxis International Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Praxis price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Praxis using various technical indicators. When you analyze Praxis charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. Triple exponential smoothing for Praxis International - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Praxis International prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Praxis International price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Praxis International.

Praxis International Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Praxis International Index on the next trading day is expected to be 16.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.08.

Praxis International Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Praxis International Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Praxis International mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Praxis International mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Praxis International observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Praxis International Index observations.

Predictive Modules for Praxis International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Praxis International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 16.02 16.68 17.34 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 15.82 16.48 17.14 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 15.43 16.13 16.84 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Praxis International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Praxis International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Praxis International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Praxis International.

Praxis International After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Praxis International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Praxis International Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Praxis International Hype Timeline

Praxis International is now traded for 16.68. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.3. Praxis is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Praxis International is about 19.61%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.98. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.44. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Praxis International last dividend was issued on the 30th of December 1970. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Praxis International to cross-verify your projections.

Praxis International Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Praxis International

For every potential investor in Praxis, whether a beginner or expert, Praxis International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Praxis Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Praxis. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Praxis International's price trends.

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