MPLX LP Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| MPLX Stock | USD 55.39 0.18 0.32% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of MPLX LP on the next trading day is expected to be 55.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.50 and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.49. MPLX Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of relative strength index of MPLX LP's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.5 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.099 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.6213 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.5985 | Wall Street Target Price 57.2308 |
Using MPLX LP hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MPLX LP from the perspective of MPLX LP response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards MPLX LP using MPLX LP's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards MPLX using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of MPLX LP's stock price.
MPLX LP Short Interest
An investor who is long MPLX LP may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about MPLX LP and may potentially protect profits, hedge MPLX LP with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 51.3827 | Short Percent 0.0204 | Short Ratio 5.52 | Shares Short Prior Month 9.1 M | 50 Day MA 53.8494 |
MPLX LP Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to MPLX LP's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in MPLX. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding MPLX can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around MPLX LP. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
MPLX LP Implied Volatility | 0.56 |
MPLX LP's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of MPLX LP stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if MPLX LP's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that MPLX LP stock will not fluctuate a lot when MPLX LP's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of MPLX LP on the next trading day is expected to be 55.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.50 and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.49. MPLX LP after-hype prediction price | USD 55.59 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MPLX LP to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current MPLX contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that MPLX LP will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.035% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With MPLX LP trading at USD 55.39, that is roughly USD 0.0194 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating MPLX LP's daily price movement you should consider acquiring MPLX LP options at the current volatility level of 0.56%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 MPLX Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast MPLX LP's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in MPLX LP's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for MPLX LP stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current MPLX LP's open interest, investors have to compare it to MPLX LP's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of MPLX LP is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in MPLX. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
MPLX LP Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine MPLX price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MPLX using various technical indicators. When you analyze MPLX charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
MPLX LP Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of MPLX LP on the next trading day is expected to be 55.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.50, mean absolute percentage error of 0.38, and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.49.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MPLX Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that MPLX LP's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
MPLX LP Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest MPLX LP | MPLX LP Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
MPLX LP Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting MPLX LP's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. MPLX LP's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 54.47 and 56.49, respectively. We have considered MPLX LP's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MPLX LP stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MPLX LP stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.4627 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1455 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4999 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0093 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 29.495 |
Predictive Modules for MPLX LP
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MPLX LP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MPLX LP After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of MPLX LP at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MPLX LP or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of MPLX LP, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
MPLX LP Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting MPLX LP's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MPLX LP's historical news coverage. MPLX LP's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 54.58 and 56.60, respectively. We have considered MPLX LP's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
MPLX LP is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MPLX LP is based on 3 months time horizon.
MPLX LP Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as MPLX LP is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MPLX LP backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MPLX LP, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 1.01 | 0.02 | 0.05 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
55.39 | 55.59 | 0.04 |
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MPLX LP Hype Timeline
MPLX LP is now traded for 55.39. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. MPLX is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 55.59 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on MPLX LP is about 408.91%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 55.34. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 10.9 B. Net Income was 4.36 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.53 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MPLX LP to cross-verify your projections.MPLX LP Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to MPLX LP's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MPLX LP's future price movements. Getting to know how MPLX LP's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MPLX LP may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TRP | TC Energy Corp | 0.52 | 8 per month | 0.84 | 0.02 | 2.09 | (1.48) | 5.93 | |
| ET | Energy Transfer LP | 0.20 | 11 per month | 0.64 | 0.07 | 2.22 | (1.33) | 3.94 | |
| LNG | Cheniere Energy | (3.75) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.76 | (2.08) | 4.88 | |
| OKE | ONEOK Inc | (0.30) | 7 per month | 1.29 | 0.1 | 2.45 | (2.33) | 6.82 | |
| SU | Suncor Energy | 1.35 | 10 per month | 0.73 | 0.22 | 2.77 | (1.62) | 7.59 | |
| KMI | Kinder Morgan | 0.27 | 8 per month | 1.35 | 0.03 | 2.01 | (1.73) | 6.34 | |
| SLB | Schlumberger NV | 0.16 | 8 per month | 1.21 | 0.25 | 4.46 | (2.89) | 11.84 | |
| EPD | Enterprise Products Partners | 0.28 | 6 per month | 0.54 | 0.09 | 1.50 | (1.34) | 3.38 | |
| IMO | Imperial Oil | (1.19) | 10 per month | 1.60 | 0.09 | 2.97 | (2.64) | 8.47 | |
| E | Eni SpA ADR | (0.01) | 7 per month | 1.12 | 0.07 | 2.04 | (2.26) | 6.47 |
Other Forecasting Options for MPLX LP
For every potential investor in MPLX, whether a beginner or expert, MPLX LP's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MPLX Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MPLX. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying MPLX LP's price trends.MPLX LP Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with MPLX LP stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of MPLX LP could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MPLX LP by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
MPLX LP Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MPLX LP stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MPLX LP shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MPLX LP stock market strength indicators, traders can identify MPLX LP entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
MPLX LP Risk Indicators
The analysis of MPLX LP's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MPLX LP's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mplx stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7906 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8189 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.02 | |||
| Variance | 1.05 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.27 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.6705 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.83) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for MPLX LP
The number of cover stories for MPLX LP depends on current market conditions and MPLX LP's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MPLX LP is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MPLX LP's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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MPLX LP Short Properties
MPLX LP's future price predictability will typically decrease when MPLX LP's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of MPLX LP often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential MPLX LP's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MPLX LP's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.5 B |
Additional Tools for MPLX Stock Analysis
When running MPLX LP's price analysis, check to measure MPLX LP's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MPLX LP is operating at the current time. Most of MPLX LP's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MPLX LP's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MPLX LP's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MPLX LP to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.