Meituan ADR Pink Sheet Forward View

MPNGY Stock  USD 23.89  0.16  0.67%   
Meituan Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Meituan ADR's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Meituan ADR's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Meituan ADR, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Meituan ADR hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Meituan ADR from the perspective of Meituan ADR response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Meituan ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 24.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.45.

Meituan ADR after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 23.89  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Meituan ADR to cross-verify your projections.

Meituan ADR Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Meituan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Meituan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Meituan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Meituan ADR is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Meituan ADR value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Meituan ADR Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 9th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Meituan ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 24.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35, mean absolute percentage error of 0.22, and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.45.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Meituan Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Meituan ADR's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Meituan ADR Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Meituan ADR  Meituan ADR Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Meituan ADR Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Meituan ADR's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Meituan ADR's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 22.18 and 25.83, respectively. We have considered Meituan ADR's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
23.89
24.00
Expected Value
25.83
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Meituan ADR pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Meituan ADR pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.5941
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3516
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0137
SAESum of the absolute errors21.4458
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Meituan ADR. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Meituan ADR. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Meituan ADR

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Meituan ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.0723.8925.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.7724.5926.41
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Meituan ADR. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Meituan ADR's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Meituan ADR's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Meituan ADR.

Meituan ADR After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Meituan ADR at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Meituan ADR or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Meituan ADR, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Meituan ADR Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Meituan ADR's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Meituan ADR's historical news coverage. Meituan ADR's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 22.07 and 25.71, respectively. We have considered Meituan ADR's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
23.89
23.89
After-hype Price
25.71
Upside
Meituan ADR is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Meituan ADR is based on 3 months time horizon.

Meituan ADR Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Meituan ADR is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Meituan ADR backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Meituan ADR, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.16 
1.82
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
23.89
23.89
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Meituan ADR Hype Timeline

Meituan ADR is now traded for 23.89. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Meituan is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.16%. %. The volatility of related hype on Meituan ADR is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.89. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.93. Meituan ADR recorded a loss per share of 1.19. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Meituan ADR to cross-verify your projections.

Meituan ADR Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Meituan ADR's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Meituan ADR's future price movements. Getting to know how Meituan ADR's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Meituan ADR may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
IDEXYIndustria de Diseno 0.00 0 per month 0.96  0.13  2.50 (1.94) 12.49 
ANCTFAlimentation Couchen Tard 0.00 0 per month 1.04  0.1  3.20 (1.97) 7.01 
FYGGYFuyao Glass Industry 0.00 0 per month 3.03 (0.01) 8.76 (6.79) 28.42 
JDCMFJd Com Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.04) 8.18 (13.67) 34.12 
MBGAFMercedes Benz Group AG 0.00 0 per month 1.49  0  3.17 (2.81) 7.68 
MBGYYMercedes Benz Group AG 0.00 0 per month 1.45  0  3.86 (2.50) 7.87 
NCLTFNitori Holdings Co 0.00 0 per month 3.81  0.11  13.06 (9.64) 42.21 
WFAFFWesfarmers Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.07  1.46  0.00  32.08 
WFAFYWesfarmers Ltd ADR 0.00 0 per month 1.16  0.06  2.17 (2.21) 5.15 
YAHOYZ Holdings Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.12) 2.68 (3.05) 7.19 

Other Forecasting Options for Meituan ADR

For every potential investor in Meituan, whether a beginner or expert, Meituan ADR's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Meituan Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Meituan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Meituan ADR's price trends.

Meituan ADR Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Meituan ADR pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Meituan ADR could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Meituan ADR by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Meituan ADR Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Meituan ADR pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Meituan ADR shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Meituan ADR pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Meituan ADR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Meituan ADR Risk Indicators

The analysis of Meituan ADR's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Meituan ADR's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting meituan pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Meituan ADR

The number of cover stories for Meituan ADR depends on current market conditions and Meituan ADR's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Meituan ADR is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Meituan ADR's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Meituan ADR Short Properties

Meituan ADR's future price predictability will typically decrease when Meituan ADR's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Meituan ADR often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Meituan ADR's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Meituan ADR's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingB
Cash And Short Term Investments116.8 B

Additional Tools for Meituan Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Meituan ADR's price analysis, check to measure Meituan ADR's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Meituan ADR is operating at the current time. Most of Meituan ADR's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Meituan ADR's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Meituan ADR's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Meituan ADR to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.