Medical Properties Stock Forward View

Medical Properties Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Medical price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Medical using various technical indicators. When you analyze Medical charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for Medical Properties is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Medical Properties Trust value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Medical Properties Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 4th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Medical Properties Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 4.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.62.

Medical Properties Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Medical Properties

Medical Properties Price Prediction

Research Analysis

Medical Properties Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Medical Properties stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Medical Properties stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Medical Properties Trust. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Medical Properties. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Medical Properties

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Medical Properties Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 3.03 5.02 7.01 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 2.37 4.36 6.35 Details

Medical Properties After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Medical Properties Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Medical Properties Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Medical Properties Hype Timeline

On the 3rd of February Medical Properties Trust is traded for 5.02. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. Medical is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on Medical Properties is about 1161.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.04. About 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.69. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Medical Properties Trust has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.93. The entity recorded a loss per share of 1.17. The firm last dividend was issued on the 11th of December 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Medical Properties to cross-verify your projections.

Medical Properties Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Medical Properties

For every potential investor in Medical, whether a beginner or expert, Medical Properties' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Medical Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Medical. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Medical Properties' price trends.

Medical Properties Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Medical Properties Market Strength Events

Medical Properties Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Medical Properties

Medical Properties Short Properties

Other Consideration for investing in Medical Stock