Acr Multi-strategy Mutual Fund Forward View

MQRIX Fund  USD 19.45  0.21  1.09%   
Acr Mutual Fund outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Acr Multi-strategy's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the mutual fund is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Acr Multi-strategy's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Acr Multi Strategy Quality, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Acr Multi-strategy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Acr Multi Strategy Quality from the perspective of Acr Multi-strategy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Acr Multi Strategy Quality on the next trading day is expected to be 19.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.96.

Acr Multi-strategy after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 19.46  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Acr Multi-strategy to cross-verify your projections.

Acr Multi-strategy Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Acr price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Acr using various technical indicators. When you analyze Acr charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Acr Multi-strategy is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Acr Multi Strategy Quality value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Acr Multi-strategy Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 8th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Acr Multi Strategy Quality on the next trading day is expected to be 19.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.96.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Acr Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Acr Multi-strategy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Acr Multi-strategy Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Acr Multi-strategy  Acr Multi-strategy Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Acr Multi-strategy Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Acr Multi-strategy's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Acr Multi-strategy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.67 and 20.27, respectively. We have considered Acr Multi-strategy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
19.45
19.47
Expected Value
20.27
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Acr Multi-strategy mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Acr Multi-strategy mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.8882
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1632
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0087
SAESum of the absolute errors9.958
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Acr Multi Strategy Quality. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Acr Multi-strategy. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Acr Multi-strategy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Acr Multi Strategy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.6619.4620.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.4619.2620.06
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
18.3718.8519.34
Details

Acr Multi-strategy After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Acr Multi-strategy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Acr Multi-strategy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Acr Multi-strategy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Acr Multi-strategy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Acr Multi-strategy's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Acr Multi-strategy's historical news coverage. Acr Multi-strategy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.66 and 20.26, respectively. We have considered Acr Multi-strategy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
19.45
19.46
After-hype Price
20.26
Upside
Acr Multi-strategy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Acr Multi Strategy is based on 3 months time horizon.

Acr Multi-strategy Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Acr Multi-strategy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Acr Multi-strategy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Acr Multi-strategy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.09 
0.80
  0.01 
 0.00  
1 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
19.45
19.46
0.05 
888.89  
Notes

Acr Multi-strategy Hype Timeline

Acr Multi Strategy is now traded for 19.45. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Acr is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 19.46 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.09%. The volatility of related hype on Acr Multi-strategy is about 2909.09%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.45. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Acr Multi-strategy to cross-verify your projections.

Acr Multi-strategy Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Acr Multi-strategy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Acr Multi-strategy's future price movements. Getting to know how Acr Multi-strategy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Acr Multi-strategy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
LCFSXLord Abbett Vertible 0.00 0 per month 1.01 (0.01) 1.95 (1.99) 4.09 
AVKAdvent Claymore Convertible(0.03)2 per month 0.69 (0.12) 1.17 (1.05) 3.34 
HRCSXHarbor Vertible Securities(0.01)1 per month 0.98 (0.06) 1.68 (1.75) 4.04 
GACCXThe Gamco Global 0.00 0 per month 0.39  0.04  0.89 (0.74) 2.44 
CCDCalamos Dynamic Convertible 0.04 3 per month 0.91 (0) 1.73 (1.57) 5.33 
CNSIXInvesco Vertible Securities 0.21 2 per month 1.04  0.06  1.95 (1.97) 12.89 
GCVGabelli Convertible And 0.01 3 per month 0.82  0.02  2.13 (1.44) 4.09 
ARBOXAbsolute Convertible Arbitrage 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.02) 0.17 (0.09) 3.52 

Other Forecasting Options for Acr Multi-strategy

For every potential investor in Acr, whether a beginner or expert, Acr Multi-strategy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Acr Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Acr. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Acr Multi-strategy's price trends.

Acr Multi-strategy Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Acr Multi-strategy mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Acr Multi-strategy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Acr Multi-strategy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Acr Multi-strategy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Acr Multi-strategy mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Acr Multi-strategy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Acr Multi-strategy mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Acr Multi Strategy Quality entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Acr Multi-strategy Risk Indicators

The analysis of Acr Multi-strategy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Acr Multi-strategy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting acr mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Acr Multi-strategy

The number of cover stories for Acr Multi-strategy depends on current market conditions and Acr Multi-strategy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Acr Multi-strategy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Acr Multi-strategy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Other Information on Investing in Acr Mutual Fund

Acr Multi-strategy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Acr Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Acr with respect to the benefits of owning Acr Multi-strategy security.
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