Mercari Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| MRCIF Stock | USD 15.88 0.00 0.00% |
Mercari Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Mercari's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 7th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Mercari's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Mercari hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mercari from the perspective of Mercari response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Mercari on the next trading day is expected to be 15.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Mercari after-hype prediction price | USD 15.88 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Mercari |
Mercari Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Mercari price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mercari using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mercari charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Mercari Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 8th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Mercari on the next trading day is expected to be 15.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mercari Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mercari's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Mercari Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Mercari | Mercari Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Mercari Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Mercari's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mercari's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.88 and 15.88, respectively. We have considered Mercari's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mercari pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mercari pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | -9.223372036854776E14 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Mercari
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mercari. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mercari After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Mercari at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mercari or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Mercari, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Mercari Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Mercari's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mercari's historical news coverage. Mercari's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.88 and 15.88, respectively. We have considered Mercari's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Mercari is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mercari is based on 3 months time horizon.
Mercari Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Mercari is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mercari backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mercari, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
15.88 | 15.88 | 0.00 |
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Mercari Hype Timeline
Mercari is now traded for 15.88. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Mercari is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Mercari is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.88. About 35.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 100.63. Mercari recorded a loss per share of 0.26. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mercari to cross-verify your projections.Mercari Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Mercari's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mercari's future price movements. Getting to know how Mercari's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mercari may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DNLMY | Dunelm Group PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 32.48 | |
| STAEF | Stanley Electric Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 8.59 | 0.14 | 31.29 | (15.34) | 35.55 | |
| YMDAF | Yamada Holdings Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| DSITF | Dixons Carphone plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.03 | 0.03 | 3.09 | (2.87) | 16.57 | |
| HPCRF | Home Product Center | 0.00 | 0 per month | 18.38 | 0.11 | 45.00 | (29.73) | 183.85 | |
| MAWHY | Man Wah Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.64 | 0 | 7.62 | (9.44) | 39.25 | |
| GPGNF | Grupo Gigante S | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 184.00 | |
| YUEIF | Yue Yuen Industrial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 44.29 | |
| TPSRF | Topsports International Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.70 | (2.63) | 11.90 | |
| WLWHY | Woolworths Holdings Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.66 | 0.06 | 5.83 | (5.51) | 13.26 |
Other Forecasting Options for Mercari
For every potential investor in Mercari, whether a beginner or expert, Mercari's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mercari Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mercari. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mercari's price trends.Mercari Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mercari pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mercari could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mercari by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Mercari Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mercari pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mercari shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mercari pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Mercari entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Story Coverage note for Mercari
The number of cover stories for Mercari depends on current market conditions and Mercari's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mercari is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mercari's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Mercari Pink Sheet
Mercari financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mercari Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mercari with respect to the benefits of owning Mercari security.