Marker Therapeutics Stock Forward View

MRKR Stock  USD 1.61  0.02  1.23%   
Marker Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, The value of RSI of Marker Therapeutics' share price is at 50. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Marker Therapeutics, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 50

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Marker Therapeutics' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Marker Therapeutics and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Marker Therapeutics' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Marker Therapeutics, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Marker Therapeutics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Marker Therapeutics from the perspective of Marker Therapeutics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Marker Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 1.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.26.

Marker Therapeutics after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.61  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Marker Therapeutics to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Marker Stock, please use our How to Invest in Marker Therapeutics guide.

Marker Therapeutics Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Marker price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Marker using various technical indicators. When you analyze Marker charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Marker Therapeutics is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Marker Therapeutics value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Marker Therapeutics Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Marker Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 1.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.26.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Marker Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Marker Therapeutics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Marker Therapeutics Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Marker Therapeutics  Marker Therapeutics Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Marker Therapeutics Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Marker Therapeutics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Marker Therapeutics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 8.14, respectively. We have considered Marker Therapeutics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.61
1.38
Expected Value
8.14
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Marker Therapeutics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Marker Therapeutics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.7662
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0862
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0574
SAESum of the absolute errors5.261
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Marker Therapeutics. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Marker Therapeutics. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Marker Therapeutics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Marker Therapeutics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.618.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.328.08
Details

Marker Therapeutics After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Marker Therapeutics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Marker Therapeutics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Marker Therapeutics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Marker Therapeutics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Marker Therapeutics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Marker Therapeutics' historical news coverage. Marker Therapeutics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.08 and 8.37, respectively. We have considered Marker Therapeutics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1.61
1.61
After-hype Price
8.37
Upside
Marker Therapeutics is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Marker Therapeutics is based on 3 months time horizon.

Marker Therapeutics Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Marker Therapeutics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Marker Therapeutics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Marker Therapeutics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.02 
6.76
  0.15 
  0.02 
2 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.61
1.61
0.00 
4,507  
Notes

Marker Therapeutics Hype Timeline

Marker Therapeutics is now traded for 1.61. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.15, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Marker is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 1.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Marker Therapeutics is about 45066.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.63. About 21.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.63. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Marker Therapeutics recorded a loss per share of 1.17. The entity last dividend was issued on the 16th of September 2016. The firm had 1:10 split on the 27th of January 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Marker Therapeutics to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Marker Stock, please use our How to Invest in Marker Therapeutics guide.

Marker Therapeutics Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Marker Therapeutics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Marker Therapeutics' future price movements. Getting to know how Marker Therapeutics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Marker Therapeutics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
EVGNEvogene 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.1) 3.77 (5.22) 21.65 
MBIOMustang Bio 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13) 7.00 (6.31) 21.51 
CLRBCellectar Biosciences 0.00 0 per month 5.76  0.01  7.66 (7.25) 30.55 
AEONAEON Biopharma 0.00 0 per month 5.46  0.11  10.34 (8.54) 33.74 
GLTOGalecto 0.00 0 per month 7.11  0.13  17.97 (14.66) 273.14 
SNSESensei Biotherapeutics 0.00 0 per month 6.10  0.04  17.33 (10.69) 36.61 
BOLTBolt Biotherapeutics 0.00 0 per month 3.81  0.04  8.22 (6.86) 18.19 
COCPCocrystal Pharma 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.03) 6.67 (5.41) 15.98 
PHIOPhio Pharmaceuticals Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.25) 4.88 (9.27) 19.15 
IMNNImunon Inc 0.15 2 per month 0.00 (0.11) 6.74 (6.59) 21.83 

Other Forecasting Options for Marker Therapeutics

For every potential investor in Marker, whether a beginner or expert, Marker Therapeutics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Marker Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Marker. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Marker Therapeutics' price trends.

Marker Therapeutics Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Marker Therapeutics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Marker Therapeutics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Marker Therapeutics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Marker Therapeutics Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Marker Therapeutics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Marker Therapeutics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Marker Therapeutics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Marker Therapeutics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Marker Therapeutics Risk Indicators

The analysis of Marker Therapeutics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Marker Therapeutics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting marker stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Marker Therapeutics

The number of cover stories for Marker Therapeutics depends on current market conditions and Marker Therapeutics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Marker Therapeutics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Marker Therapeutics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Marker Therapeutics Short Properties

Marker Therapeutics' future price predictability will typically decrease when Marker Therapeutics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Marker Therapeutics often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Marker Therapeutics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Marker Therapeutics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingM
Cash And Short Term Investments19.2 M

Additional Tools for Marker Stock Analysis

When running Marker Therapeutics' price analysis, check to measure Marker Therapeutics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Marker Therapeutics is operating at the current time. Most of Marker Therapeutics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Marker Therapeutics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Marker Therapeutics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Marker Therapeutics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.