Motorsport Gaming Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

MSGM Stock  USD 1.11  0.02  1.77%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Motorsport Gaming Us on the next trading day is expected to be 1.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.25. Motorsport Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Motorsport Gaming's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Motorsport Gaming's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Motorsport Gaming fundamentals over time.
  
At this time, Motorsport Gaming's Payables Turnover is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 22nd of November 2024, Receivables Turnover is likely to grow to 9.86, while Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to drop 14.75. . As of the 22nd of November 2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to grow to about 3.5 M, though Net Loss is likely to grow to (28.4 M).

Motorsport Gaming Cash Forecast

Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Motorsport Gaming's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
1.7 M
Current Value
1.6 M
Quarterly Volatility
M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Motorsport Gaming is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Motorsport Gaming Us value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Motorsport Gaming Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Motorsport Gaming Us on the next trading day is expected to be 1.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.25.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Motorsport Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Motorsport Gaming's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Motorsport Gaming Stock Forecast Pattern

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Motorsport Gaming Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Motorsport Gaming's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Motorsport Gaming's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 7.91, respectively. We have considered Motorsport Gaming's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.11
1.04
Expected Value
7.91
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Motorsport Gaming stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Motorsport Gaming stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.7261
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0861
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0668
SAESum of the absolute errors5.2498
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Motorsport Gaming Us. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Motorsport Gaming. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Motorsport Gaming

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Motorsport Gaming. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.117.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.132.639.50
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
6.607.258.05
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Motorsport Gaming. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Motorsport Gaming's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Motorsport Gaming's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Motorsport Gaming.

Other Forecasting Options for Motorsport Gaming

For every potential investor in Motorsport, whether a beginner or expert, Motorsport Gaming's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Motorsport Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Motorsport. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Motorsport Gaming's price trends.

Motorsport Gaming Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Motorsport Gaming stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Motorsport Gaming could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Motorsport Gaming by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Motorsport Gaming Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Motorsport Gaming's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Motorsport Gaming's current price.

Motorsport Gaming Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Motorsport Gaming stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Motorsport Gaming shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Motorsport Gaming stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Motorsport Gaming Us entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Motorsport Gaming Risk Indicators

The analysis of Motorsport Gaming's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Motorsport Gaming's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting motorsport stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether Motorsport Gaming is a strong investment it is important to analyze Motorsport Gaming's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Motorsport Gaming's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Motorsport Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Motorsport Gaming to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Is Movies & Entertainment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Motorsport Gaming. If investors know Motorsport will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Motorsport Gaming listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
2.06
Revenue Per Share
3.076
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.082
Return On Assets
(0.49)
Return On Equity
(0.14)
The market value of Motorsport Gaming is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Motorsport that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Motorsport Gaming's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Motorsport Gaming's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Motorsport Gaming's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Motorsport Gaming's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Motorsport Gaming's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Motorsport Gaming is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Motorsport Gaming's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.