Mfs Series Money Market Fund Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| MSRXX Fund | USD 1.00 0.00 0.00% |
Mfs Money Market Fund outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Mfs Series' share price is below 20 . This indicates that the money market fund is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Mfs Series hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mfs Series Trust from the perspective of Mfs Series response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Mfs Series after-hype prediction price | USD 1.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Mfs |
Mfs Series Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Mfs price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mfs using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mfs charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Mfs Series Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 21st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Mfs Series Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 1.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mfs Money Market Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mfs Series' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Mfs Series Money Market Fund Forecast Pattern
Mfs Series Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Mfs Series' Money Market Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mfs Series' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.00 and 1.00, respectively. We have considered Mfs Series' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mfs Series money market fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mfs Series money market fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | -9.223372036854776E14 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Mfs Series
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mfs Series Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the money market fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the money market fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mfs Series' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Mfs Series Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
As far as predicting the price of Mfs Series at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mfs Series or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Money Market Fund prices, such as prices of Mfs Series, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Mfs Series Money Market Fund Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Money Market Fund such as Mfs Series is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mfs Series backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mfs Series, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
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Mfs Series Hype Timeline
Mfs Series Trust is now traded for 1.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Mfs is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Mfs Series is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.00. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be uncertain. Check out fundamental analysis of Mfs Series to check your projections.Mfs Series Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Mfs Series' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mfs Series' future price movements. Getting to know how Mfs Series' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mfs Series may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| JAAIX | Alternative Asset Allocation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 0.36 | (0.35) | 0.94 | |
| ACCIX | Strategic Allocation Servative | 0.01 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.70 | (0.55) | 4.35 | |
| LSAAX | Locorr Strategic Allocation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.57 | (0.04) | 0.86 | (1.13) | 2.85 | |
| GMLVX | Guidemark Large Cap | (0.05) | 1 per month | 0.40 | 0.18 | 1.47 | (1.07) | 4.36 | |
| RHSAX | Rational Strategic Allocation | 0.09 | 1 per month | 1.67 | 0.03 | 3.20 | (2.66) | 16.01 | |
| LMUSX | Qs Large Cap | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.70 | 0.03 | 1.14 | (1.07) | 4.94 |
Other Forecasting Options for Mfs Series
For every potential investor in Mfs, whether a beginner or expert, Mfs Series' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mfs Money Market Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mfs. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mfs Series' price trends.Mfs Series Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mfs Series money market fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mfs Series could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mfs Series by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Mfs Series Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mfs Series money market fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mfs Series shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mfs Series money market fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Mfs Series Trust entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Story Coverage note for Mfs Series
The number of cover stories for Mfs Series depends on current market conditions and Mfs Series' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mfs Series is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mfs Series' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Mfs Money Market Fund
Mfs Series financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mfs Money Market Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mfs with respect to the benefits of owning Mfs Series security.
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